Electricity, Volume 4, Issue 2 (June 2023) – 6 articles

We have developed a conventional benchmark model for the prediction of two days of electricity consumption for industrial and institutional customers of an electricity provider. This task of predicting 96 values of 15 min of electricity consumption per day in one shot is successfully dealt with by a dynamic regression model that uses the Seasonal and Trend decomposition method (STL) for the estimation of the trend and the seasonal components based on (approximately) three years of real data. With the help of suitable R packages, our concept can also be applied to comparable problems in electricity consumption prediction. Full article

This paper investigates the potential of bidirectional charging using modular multilevel inverter-based reconfigurable battery systems via grid-parallel control. The system offers several advantages such as modularity, scalability, and fault-tolerance over conventional battery electric vehicle systems. It is designed for seamless integration with the grid, allowing bidirectional power flow and efficient energy storage. Within this study, the battery system is first simulated in Matlab/Simulink and later implemented into a hardware setup. Eventually, the simulation results and the measurements have been compared and evaluated. Thereby, startup sequences and constant current scenarios were investigated. It has been shown that the system is fully capable to charge and discharge the batteries in the grid-parallel connection, thus enabling bidirectional charging with close to full drive system power. The current total harmonic distortion complies with grid regulations and can potentially improve the grid quality. The proposed system offers significant potential for grid-integrated energy storage systems, addressing the challenges associated with renewable energy integration, grid stability, and energy management. In comparison to other publications on this topic, the proposed approach does not need additional dedicated power electronic hardware and has more degrees of freedom for current control. Full article

Wide-Area Power System Stabilizers (WAPSSs) are damping controllers used in power systems that employ data from Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs). WAPSSs are capable of providing high damping rates for the low-frequency oscillation modes, especially the inter-area modes. Oscillation modes can destabilize power systems if they are not correctly identified and adequately damped. However, WAPSS communication channels may be subject to failures or cyber-attacks that affect their proper operation and may even cause system instability. This research proposes a method based on an optimization model for the design of a WAPSS robust to multiple permanent communication failures. The results of applications of the proposed method in the IEEE 68-bus system show the ability of the WAPSS design to be robust to a possible number of permanent communication failures. Above this value, the combinations of failures and processing time are high and they make it difficult to obtain high damping rates for the closed-loop control system. The application and comparison of different optimization techniques are valid and showed a superior performance of the Grey Wolf Optimizer in solving the optimization problem. Full article

Enhancing electric vehicle infrastructure by forecasting the availability of charging stations can boost the attractiveness of electric vehicles. The transportation sector plays a crucial role in battling climate change. The majority of available prediction algorithms either achieve poor accuracy or predict the availability at certain points in time in the future. Both of these situations are not ideal and may potentially hinder the model’s applicability to real-world situations. This paper provides a new model for estimating the charging duration of charging events in real time, which may be used to estimate the waiting time of users at fully occupied charging stations. First, the prediction is made using the random forest regressor (RF), and then the prediction is enhanced utilizing the findings of the RF model and real-time information of the currently occurring charging events. We compare the proposed method with the RF model, which is the approach’s foundational model, and the best-performing prediction model of the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM). Here, we make use of historical information of charging events gathered from 2079 charging stations across Germany’s 4602 fast-charging connectors. To reduce data bias, we specifically simulate prediction requests for 30% of the charging events with various characteristics that were not trained with the model. Overall, the suggested method performs better than both the RF and the LightGBM. In addition, the model’s structure is adaptable and can incorporate real-time information on charging events. Full article

In isolated power systems with very high instantaneous shares of renewables, additional inertia should be used as a complementary resource to battery energy storage systems (BESSs) for improving frequency stability, which can be provided by synchronous condensers (SCs) integrated into the system. Therefore, this paper presents a methodology to infer the system dynamic security, with respect to key frequency indicators, following critical disturbances. Of particular interest is the evidence that multiple short-circuit locations should be considered as reference disturbances regarding the frequency stability in isolated power grids with high shares of renewables. Thus, an artificial neural network (ANN) structure was developed, aiming to predict the network frequency nadir and Rate of Change of Frequency (RoCoF), considering a certain operating scenario and disturbances. For the operating conditions where the system frequency indicators are violated, a methodology is proposed based on a gradient descent technique, which quantifies the minimum amount of additional synchronous inertia (SCs which need to be dispatch) that moves the system towards its dynamic security region, exploiting the trained ANN, and computing the sensitivity of its outputs with respect to the input defining the SC inertia. Full article

We propose a method for the fault passage indication of earth faults in resonant-earthed networks, based on phase current measurements alone. This is particularly relevant for electricity distribution systems at medium-voltage levels. The method is based on the relative magnitudes of the phasor changes in the phase currents due to the fault. It is tested for various network types and operation configurations by simulating the network in pscad and using the simulated currents as the input for an implementation of the method in matlab. In over-compensated networks, the method shows reliable detection of the fault passage, with good selectivity and sensitivity for both homogeneous and mixed (cable and overhead line) feeders. However, for the less common under-compensated systems, it has limitations that are described further in this study. The method has good potential for being cost effective since it requires only current measurements, from a single location, at a moderate sampling rate. Full article