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Land
Special Issues
Ecological and Disaster Risk Assessment of Land Use Changes
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Ecological and Disaster Risk Assessment of Land Use Changes

A special issue of Land (ISSN 2073-445X). This special issue belongs to the section "Landscape Ecology".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (31 March 2024) | Viewed by 652

Special Issue Editors

Dr. Jianjun Cao

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China
Interests: ecology; ecological (environmental) economics; natural resource management; human–environment interactions
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals
Prof. Dr. Asim Biswas

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
School of Environmental Sciences, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada
Interests: soil physics; vadose zone hydrology; precision agriculture; proximal soil sensing; digital soil mapping; soil spatial variability
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals
Dr. Jian Zhang

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China
Interests: ecological (environmental) geography; remote sensing of resources and environment; geographic information systems; land use and land cover change; environmental assessment
Prof. Dr. Dewei Yang

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China
Interests: human geography; rural transition; land use sustainability; geo-socio-ecological modeling; climate change mitigation and adaptation
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

In recent decades, the impact of alterations in land use on ecosystems has significantly intensified, emerging as a pivotal force driving global transformations. Imprudent land utilization has led to a spectrum of ecological threats, encompassing land desertification, soil erosion, substantial depletion of forest reserves, biodiversity loss, pollution concerns, and a decline in the functionality of ecosystem services. Furthermore, it contributes to the heightened frequency of natural disasters and extreme weather events. Given the escalating global tensions between population growth, resource availability, and environmental preservation, there is an urgent imperative for assessing the ecological disaster risks associated with changes in land use. This assessment is crucial for promoting ecological rejuvenation and advancing sustainable development efforts.

The primary objective of this Special Issue is to disseminate the most recent research findings concerning the assessment of ecological and disaster risks associated with changes in land use. Its overarching goal is to mitigate the adverse impacts on ecosystems and promote sustainable development across regional economies, societies, and environments. This Special Issue aims to propose well-reasoned strategies for responding to ecological and disaster risks effectively.

The scope of this issue encompasses a wide range of topics, including, but not limited to, the following:

  1. Analyzing current and future ecological and disaster risks resulting from land use changes at both global and regional scales.
  2. Introducing innovative technologies, frameworks, and methodologies for assessing these risks and predicting their magnitude.
  3. Implementing proactive management, policies, and governance to prevent potential ecological disasters.
  4. Advancing sustainable development in the context of land use.

We welcome submissions that present groundbreaking methodologies for understanding and addressing these environmental challenges, as well as manuscripts that provide empirical case studies exploring the scientific, managerial, and policy dimensions of ecological and disaster risk assessment associated with changes in land use.

Dr. Jianjun Cao
Dr. Asim Biswas
Dr. Jian Zhang
Prof. Dr. Dewei Yang
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Land is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2600 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • ecological or disaster risk
  • risk assessment
  • risk prediction
  • ecosystem services
  • land use change
  • land use policy
  • sustainable development

Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

21 pages, 6313 KiB  
Article
Assessment of Uncertainties in Ecological Risk Based on the Prediction of Land Use Change and Ecosystem Service Evolution
by Chang You, Hongjiao Qu, Shidong Zhang and Luo Guo
Land 2024, 13(4), 535; https://doi.org/10.3390/land13040535 - 17 Apr 2024
Viewed by 377
Abstract
With the rapid progress in urbanization and economic development, the impact of land use change (LUC) on ecosystem services is becoming increasingly significant. However, the accuracy of ecological risk assessment faces challenges due to the presence of uncertainty factors. Using the PLUS model, [...] Read more.
With the rapid progress in urbanization and economic development, the impact of land use change (LUC) on ecosystem services is becoming increasingly significant. However, the accuracy of ecological risk assessment faces challenges due to the presence of uncertainty factors. Using the PLUS model, this study aims to simulate and predict land use changes (LUCs), focusing on the southern hilly regions in southeastern China as a case study, conducting an in-depth assessment of ecological risk uncertainty. Firstly, a spatiotemporal simulation of LUCs in the southern hilly region from 1990 to 2030 was conducted under multiple scenarios. Subsequently, differences in the spatial and temporal distribution of ecosystem service value (ESV) across different years and forecast scenarios in the southern hilly region were revealed, followed by a detailed analysis of the impact of LUCs on ESV. Finally, by calculating the Ecological Risk Index (ERI), the study systematically analyzed the evolution trend of ecological risk in the southern hilly region of China from 1990 to 2030. The main research findings are as follows: (1) the conversion proportions of different land use types vary significantly under different scenarios. Compared to 2020, under the 2030 National Development Scenarios (NDSs), there has been a slight decrease of around 3% in the total conversion area of farmland, forest, and grassland. However, under the Ecological Protection Scenario (EPS) and Urban Development Scenario (UDS) scenarios, there has been an increase in the area of forest and grassland, with a rise of approximately 1.5% in converted built-up land. (2) Western cities (e.g., Yueyang and Yiyang), central cities (e.g., Jiujiang), and northeastern cities (e.g., Suzhou) of China exhibit a relatively high ESV distribution, while ESV significantly decreased overall from 2010 to 2020. However, under the EPS and UDS, ESV shows a significant increasing trend, suggesting that these two scenarios may play a crucial role in ecosystem restoration. (3) The conversion of forest and water bodies to farmland has the most significant inhibitory effect on ESV, especially during the period from 1990 to 2000, providing substantial data support for relevant policy formulation. (4) From 1990 to 2030, ecological risk gradually increased in western, central, and southwestern cities of the southern hilly region, with the highest ecological risk values under the EPS scenario in northern cities (e.g., Chizhou and Tongling). Under the UDS scenario, there has been a significant decrease in ecological risk, providing valuable insights for future ecological conservation and sustainable development. However, a limitation lies in the need for further enhancement of the scenario’s simulation authenticity. This study offers a new perspective for understanding the impact of LUCs on ecosystem services and the uncertainty of ecological risks, providing crucial reference points for land resource management and the formulation of ecological conservation policies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ecological and Disaster Risk Assessment of Land Use Changes)
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