Recent and Future Cyclonic Activity and Associated Weather Extremes

A special issue of Atmosphere (ISSN 2073-4433). This special issue belongs to the section "Meteorology".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (30 September 2023) | Viewed by 1343

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Institute of Natural and Technical Systems, 299011 Sevastopol, Russia
Interests: ocean–atmosphere system; winter cyclonic activity; weather forecast; precipitation
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Guest Editor
Laboratory of Regional Climate Systems, Sevastopol State University, 299011 Sevastopol, Russia
Interests: climate change; climate extremes; atmosphere circulation; teleconnection; extratropical cyclone climatology; Black Sea region
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The aim of this Special Issue is to provide recent advances in the field of study on cyclonic activity change encompassing issues of changes in the past, revealing current tendencies and scenarios of changes in the near future. A key task for SI is gathering high-quality papers concerning seasonal- interannual-to-decadal variability of synoptic patterns that drive cyclones evolution; studies on extraction and interpretation of multidecadal trends are also welcomed. Expected future trends of cyclones frequency and intensity associated with the anthropogenic factors is the second task of SI. Besides, it is well-known that cyclones can cause extreme weather conditions and may trigger natural disasters. Therefore, special attention should be paid to study of extremes associated with cyclones, and this is the third task of SI. Actually, these problems should be solved using both various probabilistic and interdisciplinary methods of experimental data analysis, as well as numerical, stochastic and statistical modeling including outputs of CORDEX, CMIP6 etc.

Above tasks are very important not only from academic point of view, but also for a high number of applications which are also in the focus of the SI. Among them are sustainable agriculture, social infrastructure and recreational potential, optimal design and use of wind power plants, transport and maritime safety etc. The scope of these problems covers an essential part of issues to be resolved to attain optimal regional strategies for adaptation and sustainable planning all over the World.

Topics of interest for the Special Issue include but are not limited to:

  • Climatology of cyclones in the regions.
  • Climatology of extreme events associated to the cyclones/anticyclones
  • Low-frequency variability of cyclone/anticyclone activity associated with the global climate modes
  • Cyclone/anticyclone activity under the climate change
  • Methods and models for cyclonic climate analysis
  • Predictability of cyclonic activity change in the different regions
  • Practical applications
  • Scenarios of cyclonic activity change in the future.
  • Future extreme events associated with cyclonic activity
  • Low-frequency variability of future cyclonic activity associated with the global climate modes

Prof. Dr. Elena Nikolaevna Voskresenskaya
Dr. Vladislav Evstigneev
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • cyclonic activity
  • climate change
  • weather extremes
  • natural disasters
  • future scenarios

Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

17 pages, 17259 KiB  
Article
Coastal Flooding Associated with Hurricane Irma in Central Cuba (Ciego de Ávila Province)
by Felipe Matos-Pupo, Matthew C. Peros, Roberto González-De Zayas, Alexey Valero-Jorge, Osvaldo E. Pérez-López, Flor Álvarez-Taboada and Rogert Sorí
Atmosphere 2023, 14(9), 1445; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14091445 - 16 Sep 2023
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Abstract
Irma was a major hurricane that developed during the 2017 season. It was a category 5 on the Saffir–Simpson Hurricane wind scale. This hurricane caused severe damage in the Caribbean area and the Florida Keys. The social, economic, and environmental impacts, mainly related [...] Read more.
Irma was a major hurricane that developed during the 2017 season. It was a category 5 on the Saffir–Simpson Hurricane wind scale. This hurricane caused severe damage in the Caribbean area and the Florida Keys. The social, economic, and environmental impacts, mainly related to coastal flooding, were also significant in Cuba. The maximum limits of coastal flooding caused by this hurricane were determined in this research. Field trips and the use of the GPS supported our work, which focused on both the northern and southern coasts of the Ciego de Ávila province. This work has been critical for improving coastal flooding scenarios related to a strong hurricane, as it has been the first experience according to hurricane data since 1851. Results showed that the Punta Alegre and Júcaro towns were the most affected coastal towns. The locals had never seen similar flooding in these places before. The differences between flood areas associated with Hurricane Irma and previous modeled hazard scenarios were evident (the flooded areas associated with Hurricane Irma were smaller than those modeled for categories 1, 3, and 5 hurricanes). The effects of this hurricane on the most vulnerable coastal settlements, including the impacts on the archeological site “Los Buchillones”, were also assessed. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent and Future Cyclonic Activity and Associated Weather Extremes)
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