A Mixed Review of Cash Flow Modeling: Potential of Blockchain for Modular Construction
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Research Methodology
2.1. Extraction and Collection of the Relevant Data
2.1.1. Selection of Database and Keywords
2.1.2. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
2.1.3. Screening and Evaluation of the Included Studies
2.2. Mixed Review Methodology
2.2.1. Scientometric Review
2.2.2. Systematic Review
3. Results and Discussion of the Scientometric Review of Cash Flow
3.1. The Annual Number of Publications in Cash Flow Analysis
3.2. Analysis of Co-Authorships
Active Researchers in Cash Flow Analysis
3.3. Keywords Analysis
- Cluster 1: this cluster includes 13 keywords, including stochastic durations, construction risks, questionnaire surveys, uncertainty, and simulation. Figure 6 shows the keywords in this cluster and explains the relationships among them. The keywords included in this cluster are presented in the articles that mainly focus on the financial risks of construction projects [40,42,43]. Therefore, questionnaire surveys were heavily adopted in this cluster to explore those risk factors. Also, papers in this cluster considered the stochastic nature of activities’ durations and used several techniques to consider these risks in the cash flow models [44,45]. Simulations and fuzzy logic are some of the techniques that researchers adopted to address risks and uncertainties in cash flow models.
- Cluster 2: This cluster consists of 12 keywords, including scheduling, resource constraints, construction management, AI, and optimization. Articles associated with keywords in this cluster mainly address the integration of scheduling and finance in construction projects by developing so-called Finance-based scheduling [46,47]. Notably, optimization methods have been mainly used in this cluster to find the optimum/near-optimum solution among several alternatives with accordance to cash flow functionality and develop some trade-offs between cost and time in construction projects [48,49].
- Cluster 3: 12 keywords form this cluster. The keywords in this cluster mainly indicate cost-related areas, such as cost analysis, cost estimation, inflation, and budget control. Authors in this cluster mainly focused on budget allocation and various financing options to maintain a steady cash flow during the project life cycle [50,51,52,53]. Also, “Decision-Making” is the most repeated keyword in this cluster. This is mainly because the authors in this cluster tried to determine the best financing option and improve the financing schedule for contractors [54,55].
- Cluster 4: in this cluster, the “Cash Flow” term is connected to almost every keyword in this cluster. As shown in Figure 6, keywords in this cluster are mostly technology-related, such as automation, BIM, and blockchain. Authors in this cluster tried to engage cash flow analysis with new technologies to ease and automate the payment techniques and enhance the overall performance of the cash flow in the projects [56,57], providing insight into how technologies could enhance cash flow analysis. This integration between cash flow and technologies is the fourth category of the systematic review.
- Cluster 5: A diverse set of keywords were gathered in this cluster. This cluster mainly reflects the relationship between the contractors and clients. Thus, contractors, late payments, financial management, and cost control are included in this cluster. Also, many articles related to this cluster indicate aspects related to the selection and evaluation of contractors [58,59].
4. Results and Discussion of the Systematic Analysis of Cash Flow
4.1. Cash Flow Factors
4.2. Cash Flow-Based Schedule
4.3. Cash Flow-Based Capital Structure
4.4. Cash Flow and Blockchain
4.5. Cash Flow Analysis Based on Project Type
5. Trend Analysis, Future Directions, and a Potential Framework
5.1. Trend Analysis
5.2. Future Studies
- Most studies included in the “Cash flow factors” category presented the factors affecting cash flow factors in general, except [64], who addressed cash flow-related factors in infrastructure projects. Therefore, there is an opportunity for future researchers to address the cash flow factors considering a specific project type, such as OSC projects, transportation projects, high-rise buildings, etc. In addition, most techniques addressed to evaluate the cash flow factors were qualitative and based on respondents’ perceptions. These techniques involve subjective interpretation and biased directions [61]. Therefore, future researchers are encouraged to rely more on archival financial reports of previous construction projects. By applying data analytics techniques to these reports, the project’s participants can identify relevant factors that impact their financial health. Further, hardly any study, except for [63], has been conducted to address the impacts of having negative cash flow on construction performance. Future researchers, therefore, could seek the opportunity to investigate these negative implications to develop decision support systems to help build adequate cash flow planning while avoiding such negative impacts.
- Regarding integrating cash flow modeling with scheduling uncertainties, most studies integrated cash flow modeling with individual risk factors except for [109]. Thus, future researchers could combine multiple risk factors when modeling cash flow to mimic the reality of the construction industry. Further, hardly any study has considered risks related to inclement weather and behavior effects (possible conflicts and disputes). Hybrid simulation methods and agent-based modeling can potentially incorporate these types of uncertainties in cash flow modeling. For instance, by employing agent-based modeling, the construction project stakeholders can be represented as agents, enabling defining their unique behaviors, e.g., delay in payments by the client. In addition, the current utilization of BIM models in integrating cash flow and scheduling, such as [56] and [88], is limited to deterministic durations. Future studies may incorporate stochastic durations in the 4D and 5D BIM models. In addition, when integrating cash flow and scheduling, the possible uncertainties in construction projects are challenging to be addressed in BIM models. Therefore, incorporating simulation approaches with BIM models can address some of these drawbacks.
- Regarding the type of construction projects, the literature lacks studies on cash flow analysis in OSC. Despite the benefits of OSC, including waste reduction, cost/schedule savings, and minimum labor requirement, it faces financial barriers. The OSC projects are argued to be more expensive due to their high initial capital cost requirement, particularly in the earlier phase of the project [110]. Subsequently, this high initial cost can easily affect the cash flow of both client and onsite contractor, which could threaten their financial stability. Therefore, future works can address cash flow from contractors’ and clients’ perspectives in OSC.
- In light of adequate cash flow forecasting, efficient payment practices for construction projects are necessary. In construction projects, the progress payments mainly follow a cascade nature, where the payments are delivered from the clients to the main contractors, from the main contractors to subcontractors, and so forth for the rest of the supply chain. Any deficiency in the payment process, such as late payment or non-payment, leads to unfavorable outcomes, including disputes, bankruptcies, and schedule delays [43]. In this regard, the developed cash flow systems through the association between blockchain and BIM technologies can be enhanced through the following: (1) the development of a fully automated progress payment system, where data is synchronized between BIM models and the blockchain network; (2) consideration of procurement approaches in the development of payment systems; (3) the association between the payment systems and possible disputes.
- There is an absence found in the literature on the association between project procurement approaches and cash flow analysis. Procurement approaches can be defined as determining the contractual relationships among various project participants to build a facility [111]. These contractual relationships define the flow of cash among project participants. In some types of projects, such as OSC projects, appropriate procurement systems are ambiguous and differ from conventional construction projects due to the vast difference in processes and, therefore, affect their construction cash flow [112]. Hence, future studies can be directed to examine the effect of selecting various procurement approaches in nonconventional construction projects, namely OSC projects, on the cash flow of the project participants.
5.3. Conceptual Automated Payment Framework for MiC Projects
6. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Author | No. of Articles | No. of Citations | Norm. Citations | Total Link Strength | Author | No. of Articles | No. of Citations | Norm. Citations | Total Link Strength |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elazouni A. | 10 | 409 | 16.05 | 7 | Mousavi S.M. | 2 | 34 | 3.83 | 2 |
Kaka A.P. | 12 | 385 | 14.87 | 9 | Padman R. | 2 | 34 | 1.29 | 0 |
Metwally F.G. | 3 | 165 | 4.16 | 3 | Abrishami S. | 2 | 32 | 10.48 | 4 |
Boussabaine A.H. | 2 | 121 | 2.80 | 1 | Elghaish F. | 2 | 32 | 10.48 | 4 |
Liu S.-S. | 2 | 121 | 2.44 | 2 | Hosseini M.R. | 2 | 32 | 10.48 | 4 |
Wang C.-J. | 2 | 121 | 2.44 | 2 | Jiang A. | 3 | 28 | 1.57 | 2 |
Price A.D.F. | 2 | 111 | 4.96 | 2 | Leung A.Y.T. | 3 | 24 | 0.97 | 4 |
Cheng M.-Y. | 4 | 104 | 5.78 | 0 | Malek M. | 2 | 24 | 1.32 | 2 |
Navon R. | 2 | 96 | 4.48 | 0 | Huang W.-H. | 2 | 19 | 1.80 | 2 |
Hegazy T. | 3 | 95 | 3.65 | 0 | Tserng H.P. | 2 | 19 | 1.80 | 2 |
Park H.K. | 3 | 77 | 1.96 | 2 | Lam K.C. | 2 | 18 | 0.74 | 4 |
Han S.H. | 2 | 74 | 1.79 | 2 | Tang C.M. | 2 | 18 | 0.74 | 4 |
Zayed T. | 3 | 67 | 5.63 | 4 | Carmichael D.G. | 2 | 17 | 1.12 | 0 |
Lowe J. | 2 | 56 | 1.85 | 4 | Bagherpour M. | 2 | 15 | 2.52 | 0 |
Odeyinka H.A. | 2 | 56 | 1.85 | 4 | Su Y. | 2 | 13 | 1.34 | 2 |
Lucko G. | 4 | 52 | 3.86 | 2 | Fischer M. | 2 | 10 | 5.91 | 2 |
Arditi D. | 4 | 49 | 5.83 | 0 | Hamledari H. | 2 | 10 | 5.91 | 2 |
El-Abbasy M.S. | 2 | 49 | 3.79 | 4 | Konior J. | 2 | 8 | 2.13 | 2 |
Afshar A. | 2 | 37 | 1.28 | 0 | Szóstak M. | 2 | 8 | 2.13 | 2 |
Mohagheghi V. | 3 | 35 | 4.10 | 2 | Edwards D.J. | 2 | 5 | 0.98 | 0 |
Lewis J. | 2 | 34 | 1.55 | 2 |
Keyword | Frequencies | Total Link Strength | Keyword | Frequencies | Total Link Strength |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cash Flow | 108 | 588 | Cost Control | 10 | 80 |
Construction Projects | 106 | 613 | Information Analysis | 9 | 70 |
Construction Management | 79 | 530 | Performance | 9 | 57 |
Optimization | 41 | 267 | S-Curve | 9 | 51 |
Contractors | 40 | 247 | Uncertainty | 9 | 69 |
Scheduling | 40 | 265 | Durations | 8 | 58 |
Cost | 35 | 239 | AI | 7 | 55 |
Forecasting | 32 | 213 | Cost Estimation | 7 | 44 |
Algorithms | 27 | 196 | CPM | 7 | 54 |
Construction Risks | 24 | 130 | Sensitivity Analysis | 7 | 60 |
Cost Analysis | 24 | 173 | Database | 6 | 45 |
Decision-Making | 24 | 172 | Developing Countries | 6 | 38 |
Financial Management | 24 | 192 | Heuristics | 6 | 46 |
Mathematical Models | 24 | 191 | Production Control | 6 | 44 |
Profit | 23 | 155 | Regression Analysis | 6 | 46 |
Simulation | 23 | 149 | Neural Networks | 5 | 30 |
Capital Structure | 22 | 172 | Questionnaire Surveys | 5 | 32 |
Budget Control | 19 | 153 | Automaton | 4 | 19 |
Economics | 18 | 122 | BIM | 4 | 19 |
Finance | 15 | 100 | Blockchain | 4 | 12 |
Project Type | 15 | 87 | Commerce | 4 | 31 |
Fuzzy-Logic | 14 | 109 | Computational Experiment | 4 | 27 |
Planning | 13 | 113 | Housing | 4 | 24 |
Programming | 13 | 100 | Industry | 4 | 34 |
Resource Constraints | 13 | 90 | Inflation | 4 | 27 |
Investment | 12 | 69 | Late Payment | 4 | 21 |
Managers | 11 | 87 | Life Cycle | 4 | 31 |
Net Present Value | 11 | 66 | Spreadsheets | 4 | 24 |
Stochastic Durations | 11 | 68 | Supply Chain | 4 | 16 |
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Assaf, M.; Hussein, M.; Alsulami, B.T.; Zayed, T. A Mixed Review of Cash Flow Modeling: Potential of Blockchain for Modular Construction. Buildings 2022, 12, 2054. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings12122054
Assaf M, Hussein M, Alsulami BT, Zayed T. A Mixed Review of Cash Flow Modeling: Potential of Blockchain for Modular Construction. Buildings. 2022; 12(12):2054. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings12122054
Chicago/Turabian StyleAssaf, Mohamed, Mohamed Hussein, Badr T. Alsulami, and Tarek Zayed. 2022. "A Mixed Review of Cash Flow Modeling: Potential of Blockchain for Modular Construction" Buildings 12, no. 12: 2054. https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings12122054