Analysis of Weather Patterns Related to Wintertime Particulate Matter Concentration in Seoul and a CMIP6-Based Air Quality Projection
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Experiments
2.1. Station PM10 Data and Reanalysis Data
2.2. Models
2.3. Atmosphere Pattern Index
3. Results
3.1. Characteristics of PM10 in Seoul
3.2. Atmospheric Patterns Related to High PM10 Concentrations
3.3. MKPI Development
3.4. Validation of Applicability within the CMIP6 of the MKPI
3.5. Future Projections of the MKPI
4. Summary
Author Contributions
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Reference | Index | Defined Area |
---|---|---|
Lee et al. [10] | 500 hPa u-wind index (U500I) | (45° N–55° N, 110° E–140° E) –(30° N–40° N, 110° E–140° E) |
850 hPa v-wind index (V850I) | 25° N–40° N, 115° E–135° E | |
500 hPa geopotential index (Z500I) | 35° N–50° N, 110° E–140° E | |
Kim et al. [14] | Potential air temperature gradient index (ATGI) | 33° N–38° N, 125° E–130° E |
1000 hPa wind speed index (WS1000I) | 33° N–38° N, 125° E–130° E | |
This paper | 10 m wind speed index (WSSFCI) | 25° N–40° N, 115° E–135° E |
500 hPa u-wind index (U500I) | (45° N–55° N, 110° E–140° E)–(30° N–40° N, 110° E–140° E) |
Reference | Index | Daily Correlation | Monthly Correlation |
---|---|---|---|
Lee et al. [10] | Z500I | 0.31 ** | 0.5 ** |
U500I | 0.34 ** | 0.63 ** | |
V850I | 0.27 ** | 0.28 ** | |
Kim et al. [14] | WS1000I | −0.37 ** | 0.5 ** |
ATGI | 0.3 ** | 0.28 ** | |
This paper | WSSFCI | −0.41 ** | −0.62 ** |
MKPI | 0.42 ** | 0.66 ** |
Frequency of the MKPI | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Period | Scenario | (>0) | (0–0.5) | (0.5–1) | (>1) |
1995–2014 | HIST | 48.1 (±2.06) | 32.7 (±2.04) | 14 (±1.13) | 1.3 (±0.16) |
2031–2050 | SSP1-2.6 | 48.7 (±3.15) | 32.4 (±2.33) | 14.8 (±0.89) | 1.5 (±0.58) |
SSP2-4.5 | 49.6 (±2.85) | 32.2 (±1.72) | 16.1 (±2.11) | 1.3 (±0.4) | |
SSP3-7.0 | 50.9 (±3.29) | 33.3 (±1.13) | 15.9 (±2.1) | 1.7 (±0.42) | |
SSP5-8.5 | 50.1 (±1.29) | 32.9 (±1.27) | 15.6 (±1.25) | 1.6 (±0.45) | |
2081–2100 | SSP1-2.6 | 51.4 (±3.8) | 33.7 (±1.97) | 16.1 (±2.69) | 1.6 (±0.41) |
SSP2-4.5 | 50.7 (±3.19) | 32.9 (±1.57) | 16.3 (±1.75) | 1.5 (±0.42) | |
SSP3-7.0 | 56 (±2.09) | 32.9 (±1.48) | 20.4 (±2.32) | 2.8 (±1.02) | |
SSP5-8.5 | 54.6 (±2.37) | 32.9 (±1.14) | 18.8 (±1.21) | 2.8 (±0.58) |
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Kwon, S.-H.; Kim, J.; Shim, S.; Seo, J.; Byun, Y.-H. Analysis of Weather Patterns Related to Wintertime Particulate Matter Concentration in Seoul and a CMIP6-Based Air Quality Projection. Atmosphere 2020, 11, 1161. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11111161
Kwon S-H, Kim J, Shim S, Seo J, Byun Y-H. Analysis of Weather Patterns Related to Wintertime Particulate Matter Concentration in Seoul and a CMIP6-Based Air Quality Projection. Atmosphere. 2020; 11(11):1161. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11111161
Chicago/Turabian StyleKwon, Sang-Hoon, Jinwon Kim, Sungbo Shim, Jeongbyn Seo, and Young-Hwa Byun. 2020. "Analysis of Weather Patterns Related to Wintertime Particulate Matter Concentration in Seoul and a CMIP6-Based Air Quality Projection" Atmosphere 11, no. 11: 1161. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11111161