1. Introduction
The pressing global potable water crisis has swiftly risen to the forefront of our concerns, propelled by a confluence of factors, including rapid population expansion [
1], burgeoning industrial progress [
2], surging demands for freshwater resources [
3], and the alarming depletion of our vital reserves [
4]. According to the United Nations, more than 2.7 billion people are projected to face water scarcity challenges by the middle of this century. As civilization and industrialization advance, freshwater scarcity worsens, with predictions that two-thirds of the world’s population will lack access to clean drinking water by 2025 [
5]. In light of this situation, desalination—the process of converting seawater into potable water—has emerged as a viable solution, considering that over 97% of the Earth’s water resources are seawater. However, the process of desalination demands a substantial amount of energy. To produce 22 million cubic meters of freshwater per day, approximately 203 million tons of oil are consumed annually [
6]. Despite the unsustainability and significant environmental and public health risks associated with fossil fuels, they still contribute significantly to global energy consumption [
7].
To address the challenge of greenhouse gas emissions, it is crucial to investigate alternative energy sources that can replace fossil fuels in the global energy supply [
8]. Renewable energy options, such as solar, geothermal, and wind power, offer effective solutions for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The European Union (EU) has set ambitious targets for its economy, aiming to achieve “zero-emissions” by 2050 and work towards energy independence, as outlined in the European Green Deal policy introduced in 2019 [
9].
Solar energy, with its advantages of being a free and limitless source while reducing the consumption of non-renewable primary energy, is an excellent option for achieving zero emissions [
10]. Solar energy can be broadly categorized into two main types: solar photovoltaic (PV) technology, which directly converts solar energy into electricity, and solar thermal collectors, which concentrate solar energy to generate heat [
11]. Within the realm of solar thermal collector diversity, parabolic trough collectors (PTC) stand out as a widely adopted choice, especially well-suited for scenarios necessitating a moderate level of temperature concentration (up to 500 °C) [
12]. Their inherent cost-effectiveness and remarkable efficiency make them a compelling option for such applications [
13]. PTCs can be easily integrated with traditional power plants, such as steam turbines (Rankine cycle) or gas turbines (Brayton cycle), to enhance overall system efficiency while minimizing environmental impact [
14].
An effective technique for converting heat into power is the organic Rankine cycle (ORC) below 400 °C [
15]. The ORC operates on the same principles as the conventional Rankine cycle but utilizes organic fluids with lower saturation temperatures as the working fluid (WF) instead of water [
16]. Considering sustainable development as a paramount factor, the potential WF for ORC systems encompass a range of options, including natural refrigerant choices such as carbon dioxide and hydrocarbons. Alongside these, there are hydrofluorocarbons and various combinations of WFs that also warrant consideration [
17]. The ORC system consists of four essential components: the evaporator, turbine, pump, and condenser [
18]. The efficiency of the ORC system is profoundly impacted by both the operational parameters and system coupling factors. These include crucial elements such as integration crucial temperature and pressure [
19].
Reverse osmosis (RO) and thermal procedures, such as multi-stage flash (MSF) and multi-effect distillation (MED), are the two main classes of membrane technology that have been proposed as water desalination techniques [
20]. The commercialization of MSF and MED technologies is constrained by their substantial energy requirements, encompassing two key components: thermal energy for the evaporation process and electricity to power pumps and other plant operations [
21]. For each cubic meter (m
3) of produced water, MSF desalination facilities operating at temperatures exceeding 110 °C require approximately 3.5 kWh of electricity and around 12 kWh of thermal energy. In contrast, MED plants operating at temperatures below 70 °C exhibit reduced power requirements, with about 1.5 kWh of electrical energy and 6 kWh of thermal energy [
22].
Compared to other techniques, RO currently dominates the industry due to several reasons. Firstly, RO can accommodate a wide range of production capacities, ranging from small standalone installations to large-scale operations capable of producing up to 500,000 m
3 per day. Secondly, RO plants can operate continuously and reliably for extended periods without the need for shutdowns. Lastly, RO exhibits low specific energy consumption, typically ranging from 2 to 4 kWh/m
3, which approaches the thermodynamic limit of 1 kWh/m
3 for seawater desalination. In terms of environmental impact, the CO
2 emissions of RO range from 1.7 to 2.8 kg/m
3, making it the most environmentally friendly option compared to other techniques [
23]. Hence, the optimal approach for seawater desalination is employing the RO technique.
The commercialization of parabolic trough collector (PTC) based systems encounters notable constraints, primarily centered around the aspects of elevated total costs and intermittent operation. Addressing the intermittency concern, the integration of storage tanks has been introduced as a strategic measure within the system. In addition, to evaluate the performance of the system, a more advanced model is created based on machine learning. The main focus of this work is to design an advanced heat and power multi-generation ORC system. To significantly enhance energy efficiency, the integration of the heat exchanger (HE) and thermoelectric generator (TEG) into the system has been successfully achieved. Additionally, the power generated by this setup is effectively utilized by the RO system to produce clean water. The ORC system modeling has been accomplished by leveraging the working fluid properties and considering the thermodynamic constraints using the Engineering Equation Solver (EES). Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technology functions akin to the human brain. In contrast to thermodynamic modeling, the utilization of ANN can significantly reduce optimization time. By employing ANN, intricate optimization challenges can be simplified, streamlining the process and concurrently enhancing the ANN’s structural parameters. After modeling, the stochastic data generated by EES is inputted into the ANN, further streamlining the optimization process. This approach significantly contributes to the innovation of this article, and the following factors highlight its uniqueness and novelty:
The integration of EES with ANN has demonstrated a remarkable reduction in optimization time. Additionally, the incorporation of HE and TEG measures has led to substantial enhancements in the exergy efficiency of the system. These advancements collectively underscore the significance of coupling advanced methodologies for optimizing energy systems and underline the potential for achieving superior performance and efficiency. The thermodynamic processes involved in the ORC system, such as compression, expansion, evaporation, and regeneration, are modeled using an ANN. This advanced modeling technique utilizes the properties of the WF to accurately predict and evaluate the system’s performance during each process. This approach significantly enhances the accuracy and reliability of performance predictions in the ORC system.
The utilization of NSGA-II, a powerful multi-objective optimization technique, allows for the achievement of optimal design and operating setpoints in the ORC system. This integration is pivotal in enhancing the system’s economic viability while optimizing its exergy efficiency.
The Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Situation (TOPSIS) method is employed as the decision-making tool to determine the best solution for the multi-generation system. This approach aids in selecting the most optimal configuration by considering various criteria and evaluating the system’s performance against ideal solutions.
The optimization process focuses on increasing the exergy efficiency, reducing the production cost of desalinated water, and enhancing the co-generation capabilities.
2. Literature Review
The principal objective of the proposed system is twofold: to curtail the overall costs and enhance operational efficiency. Within the realm of efficiency augmentation, the integration of HE and TEG emerges as a particularly potent strategy. These measures represent a compelling avenue for elevating system performance, exemplifying a paramount approach among the spectrum of available enhancement techniques. Jafary et al. proposed a trigeneration system based on PTC and organic Rankine cycle (ORC) and investigated the impact of an internal heat exchanger in detail. The results demonstrated that the inclusion of an internal heat exchanger increased the exergy efficiency of the system from 6.641% to 12.69% [
24]. Aliahmadi et al. conducted a comparative analysis involving three distinct plants, revealing a compelling correlation between the highest plant efficiency and the greatest power output derived from the TEG unit [
25].
An additional efficacious approach for enhancing system efficiency involves the selection of the optimal WF. Yu et al. introduced a design system that combines solar energy with the ORC. Four different WFs were thoroughly investigated, and under optimal conditions toluene exhibited the best performance among them, resulting in a system exergy efficiency of 24.8% [
26]. Li et al. also presented an ORC driven by waste heat recovery, exploring cyclohexane, benzene, and toluene as the WFs. According to their findings, toluene outperformed the other high-temperature WFs [
27]. A PTC-based hybrid system was proposed by Razmi et al. [
28]. To select the optimal working fluid and ideal operating conditions for solar installations, five WFs were compared in detail. The results showed that DowthermA was the best choice.
For achieving optimal cost reduction, cogeneration stands out as the most efficient approach. Rostami et al. explored a PTC-based electricity storage system for trigeneration, which produced 22.5 kW of power, 140.8 kW of heat, and 97.3 g/h of hydrogen [
29]. Furthermore, Alotaibi et al. conducted a comparison between a PTC-based power plant and an equivalent photovoltaic solar plant. The study revealed that the PTC solar plant had a 45% lower ideal aperture area and a 44% lower Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) compared to the photovoltaic solar plant [
30].
Richard’s team has made significant strides in the field of renewable energy-powered membrane technology. Their efforts have been particularly directed towards studying the impact of fluctuating solar irradiance. The system can function effectively with a variable energy source, especially if extra power is made available to kick-start it after a period of shutdown [
31]. Boussouga et al. conducted a thorough investigation into the properties of RO membranes [
32]; in terms of permeate quality, tight nanofiltration/RO membranes display a strong resilience. Li et al. [
33] additionally highlight that, by employing a motor power rating of less than 1.5 kW, it is conceivable to achieve a specific energy consumption ranging from 1.5 to 3 kWh/m
3, as estimated. The average specific energy consumption has also experienced a significant decrease. For instance, in 2005, Schäfer and Richard conducted a case study in an Australian remote national park, where the specific energy consumption was measured at 5 kWh/m
3 [
34]. In 2016, Shen et al. presented a case study in Tanzania, in which the specific energy consumption was 1.6 kWh/m
3 [
35].
In a study by Amin et al., an analysis of three cascade power plants connected to an RO desalination unit driven by a solar pond was presented. The study concluded that, for the proposed system, June is the most cost-effective month with a product cost of
$72.42/kWh [
36]. Dong et al. introduced a pioneering hybrid solar–geothermal system with an RO subsystem. The system exhibited remarkable exergy efficiency, achieving an impressive 3%. Additionally, the unit exergy cost was determined to be
$19.77/GJ, showcasing its economic viability [
37].
In the field of ORC, machine learning techniques have garnered increasing attention due to their self-learning capabilities, ability to handle nonlinearity, and capacity to approximate arbitrary functions. ANN technology, renowned for these attributes, has been frequently utilized in developing prediction models [
38]. Zhou and colleagues undertook an extensive study comparing optimization times between ANN and mechanistic models. The findings reveal that ANN achieves an optimization time of approximately 0.135 s, whereas mechanistic models require over 10 h. Notably, the accuracy rate of ANN impressively reaches 99% [
39]. By leveraging an ANN-based model, remarkable levels of optimization and design detail were attained by Chen et al., the results demonstrating that the model reduces calculation time by more than 50% [
40]. The primary purpose of ANN is to expedite calculations, and it is frequently employed in conjunction with optimization algorithms to enhance their performance.
The Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) is an influential decision space exploration engine that is based on the Genetic Algorithm (GA) framework. It is specifically designed for effectively solving Multi-objective Optimization Problems (MOOPs) [
41]. NSGA-II was originally proposed by Deb et al. [
42] and has since proven to be a powerful and widely utilized approach in the field. The NSGA-II algorithm was utilized to conduct a multi-objective thermo–economic optimization of biomass retrofit for an existing solar ORC power plant to identify the most efficient and cost-effective solutions [
43]. Xu et al. employed NSGA-II to explore the optimal configuration of a standalone wind/PV/hydrogen system to identify a set of Pareto solutions [
44]. The Pareto front provides a series of equivalent solutions for the multi-objective problem, each offering a balanced trade-off between the objectives being considered. In this work, the final Pareto frontier solution is selected through the utilization of the TOPSIS approach, which was originally developed by Hwang and Yoon in 1981 [
45]. It is a statistical technique that aims to optimize the selection process by increasing the gap from a negative ideal solution and decreasing the gap from a positive ideal solution, ultimately identifying the most favorable choice among a given set of alternatives. Additionally, the proximity to the positive ideal solution serves as a significant criterion for evaluating the top-ranked option [
46].
Based on the aforementioned literature survey, it becomes evident that the co-generation of heat and power offers a potent avenue for substantially diminishing the overall investment costs within the system. Furthermore, the integration of a seawater desalination component remarkably enhances the economic viability of the entire setup. The proposition entails a co-generation system founded on PTC technology, harmoniously integrated with an RO subsystem. For the PTC cycle, DowthermA was judiciously selected as the WF, while toluene assumed its role within the ORC cycle. Thermodynamic modeling was conducted using EES to showcase the optimal performance of the proposed system. To further enhance this performance, a dual optimization approach employing ANN and NSGA-II was employed. Additionally, the TOPSIS decision-making method was applied to identify the most favorable solution.
4. Results and Discussion
The thermodynamic properties of the system are analyzed using EES. The working fluid for the solar cycle is DowthermA, known for its excellent heat transfer properties. To expedite the calculation process, an ANN is incorporated into the simulation. ANN is a well-established machine-learning algorithm, renowned for its simplicity, ease of implementation, and exceptional performance across various applications [
59]. Notably, a three-layer backpropagation neural network can approximate a rational function with remarkable precision. In this study, a three-layer BP network is employed to describe the thermodynamic processes based on the working fluid parameters. These layers include the input layer, hidden layer, and output layer.
Figure 2 illustrates the comprehensive system flowchart. The procedural sequence unfolds as follows: initial data generated during EES modeling were seamlessly channeled into the ANN framework to streamline the modeling procedure. Subsequently, the optimization phase was orchestrated through NSGA-II to yield a Pareto frontier. Finally, the judicious application of the TOPSIS decision-making approach culminated in the selection of the most optimal solution for the system.
Upon concluding the entire modeling process, EES generated a dataset comprising 1000 random data points. These data points were derived from the optimization parameter range.
Table 4 presents the optimal parameters along with their respective ranges of variation. In consideration of both the economic property and system performance, the total hourly investment (
) and the exergy efficiency of the ORC (
) were chosen as the output optimization variables. To construct accurate ANN models for thermodynamic processes, a substantial amount of data is necessary for network training. Thus, this study utilized the 1000 random data points obtained from EES.
The 1000 random data points were divided into three distinct parts for training, testing, and validation purposes. Specifically, 70% of the data was allocated for training, while 15% was set aside for testing. The remaining 15% was utilized for validation. The model’s validation results are illustrated in
Figure 3. The accuracy of the ANN is evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R). A higher value of R indicates a greater accuracy of the neural network’s predictions. As the value approaches unity, the forecast of the neural network becomes increasingly precise. This observation is depicted in
Figure 3, confirming the model’s exceptional accuracy.
4.1. Validation
Recognizing the innovative nature of the proposed system, a rigorous validation of its pivotal components was undertaken to uphold the accuracy of the analytical conclusions. Subsystem validation was executed independently, utilizing published data from Yu [
26] and Yang [
60]. In
Table 5, a comprehensive comparison is presented between the outcomes of the present investigation and the findings reported in these references concerning the ORC cycle, revealing remarkable congruity with the conclusions elucidated in the cited work.
4.2. Parametric Analysis
In this endeavor, the primary objective is to identify the design elements that exert the most significant influence on the performance of the system. The impact of
and
on the chosen performance goals of the suggested system is depicted in
Figure 4. The range of
is from 70 to 90 °C. Notably, in
Figure 4a, it is evident that both
and
exhibit a decline as
increases. The variation range of
is from 30.44% to 30.07%; meanwhile, the maximum value of
is US
$39.4/h, and the minimum value of
is US
$39.09/h. The inlet temperature of the turbine (
) also has a great influence on the performance of the system.
Figure 4b reveals that both
and
exhibit an increase as
rises. Notably, at a
value of 280 °C, both
and
reach their maximum values of 30.52% and US
$39.44/h, respectively. The desired minimum value of
, however, is attained at
= 240 °C, where it reaches US
$38.11/h. The variables
and
are intricately tied to the system’s heat absorption amount. Elevated
values coupled with lower
values signify enhanced heat transfer, resulting in heightened exergy efficiency. It is important to note that a larger heat transfer area corresponds to increased costs.
The performance of the system is greatly influenced by the total area of the solar collector (
) and the temperature of the output WF (
).
Figure 5 illustrates the relationship between
and
with respect to
and
. In
Figure 5a, it is evident that
increases as
increases. The maximum value of
, reaching 31.65%, is observed when
equals 9000. Simultaneously,
also shows an increasing trend, with a minimum value of US
$35.54/h. In
Figure 5b,
and
decrease as
, the maximum value of
is 30.83% and, furthermore, the minimum value of
is US
$39.06/h. Based on the above analysis, achieving a higher
can be accomplished by increasing
and
while decreasing
and
. In contrast, lower
can be realized by increasing
and
while decreasing
and
. In order to strike a balance between higher efficiency and lower cost, it becomes apparent that both cannot be achieved simultaneously. Therefore, the modeling process incorporates optimization techniques to find an optimal solution.
4.3. Multi-Objective Optimization
The performance of the ORC is influenced by a wide range of factors. The performance metrics or expenses typically increase or decrease in tandem with these parameters. For this reason, the best design point should be discovered via multi-objective optimization. Many challenging engineering optimization issues can be realistically modeled using multi-objective optimization. Because minimizing cost and maximizing performance are sometimes at odds with one another in real-world problems, using the single-objective approach to optimize a particular state can produce unexpected outcomes when compared to other objective functions. Two optimization goal functions for the ORC design have been chosen for this work. The primary objective function is to increase the cycle’s exergy efficiency, which is computed using , and the second objective function is to minimize the initial hourly cost of the system . Based on the parametric analysis, four design variables were chosen to be the input parameter for optimization.
In the present study, the NSGA-II algorithm is employed to obtain the optimal solution. Throughout the process, a population of distinct solutions is iteratively modified. At each stage, individuals are randomly selected from the existing population to act as parents and produce offspring for future generations. The population gradually adapts toward the best solution across subsequent generations. For this study, the population size is 200, and the maximum number of generations is 100. Details of the parameters are shown in
Table 6.
The Pareto frontier solution for the proposed system obtained through NSGA-II is shown in
Figure 6, which amply illustrates the conflict between two objectives—
and
. The
rises whenever a thermodynamic parameter boosts the
. The highest
is present at design point A because this is where the
is highest. On the other side, design point B has the lowest
and the lowest
. When energy efficiency is a single goal function, design point A represents the ideal circumstance, whereas design point B represents the ideal situation when the hourly cost is a single objective function.
All the solutions are the best choice for the proposed system, and the TOPSIS decision-maker is used to choose the ideal point. Optimization result details are shown in
Table 7. The ideal point chosen by TOPSIS corresponds to the values of US
$39.38/h for
and 30.39% for
, respectively. Simultaneously, the system exhibits a total output power of 577.9 kJ/kg, a mass flow rate of fresh water of 137.7
, and a district heating supply of 1074 kJ/kg.
4.4. Cost Analysis
The cost diagram, presented in
Figure 7, provides a visual representation of the cost breakdown, while
Table 8 provides detailed information. Notably, the solar collector stands out as the most expensive component, amounting to US
$26.77/h, representing approximately 68% of the total cost. Following closely, the turbine incurs the second highest cost at US
$6.185/h, accounting for approximately 15.7% of the total cost. The third and fourth most expensive units within the system are the TEG and RO, with costs of US
$2.318/h and US
$2.256/h, respectively. These costs represent approximately 5.9% and 5.7% of the total system cost, respectively. The ORC system is composed of several integral components, including an economizer, evaporator, HEX, OFOH, pump, and turbine. Notably, the investment cost of the ORC system amounts to US
$8.0377/h, accounting for approximately 20.4% of the overall system cost.
The primary cost factor is associated with the solar cycle. Future efforts should prioritize the reduction of solar collector costs and explore hybrid systems, such as a solar–geothermal hybrid system, which could offer a more effective solution. Furthermore, in contrast to prior studies, ANN is employed for optimization in this work. This approach tackles complex calculation challenges and notably diminishes computation time. The ANN plays a crucial role in streamlining the thermodynamic model. Both the HE and TEG have been seamlessly integrated into the system, effectively enhancing the overall efficiency of the ORC.
5. Conclusions
An investigation was conducted to compare the thermodynamic performance and economic parameters of a PTC (Parabolic Trough Collector) powered ORC (Organic Rankine Cycle) using DowthermA and toluene. The study employed thermo-economic multi-objective optimization and decision-making techniques. Four key parameters, namely the outlet temperature of the solar collector (T2), turbine inlet temperature (T10), TEG outlet temperature (T15), and overall area of the solar collector (), were analyzed to determine their impact on the system’s exergy efficiency and hourly cost.
Through the application of TOPSIS decision-making, the Pareto-optimal solutions were identified from the Pareto-optimal frontier. The investigation yielded several notable findings, which can be summarized as follows:
The exergy efficiency () and hourly total cost () exhibit a decrease when the temperatures and increase. Conversely, an increase in and is observed with higher temperatures and .
The NSGA-II algorithm is employed for the optimization process, resulting in a Pareto frontier. From this frontier, the range of is found to be between 28.58% and 31.93%, while the range of spans from US$38.5/h to US$55.53/h.
Utilizing TOPSIS decision-making, the best solution from the Pareto frontier is determined, with and values of 30.39% and US$39.38/h, respectively. Additionally, the system parameters include a mass flow rate of fresh water at 137.7 , a total output net power of 577.9 kJ/kg, and a district heating supply of 1074 kJ/kg.
A detailed breakdown of the cost rates for each component reveals that the solar collector accounts for US$26.77/h, representing approximately 68% of the total hourly cost. The subsequent components in terms of cost are the ORC, TEG, and RO units.
Moreover, it is essential to acknowledge several limitations within this research. Notably, the system optimization was exclusively performed under design conditions, with off-design operations not being considered. To address this, extending the analysis to encompass dynamic simulations would enable the capture of transient behaviors and facilitate the evaluation of system responses across diverse operational scenarios. This expansion will facilitate a deeper and more comprehensive understanding of the intricate dynamics that are inherent to the system.