1. Introduction
Increases in global air temperatures and solar radiation due to climate change have intensified the problem of ensuring human thermal comfort in buildings even in regions with currently temperate summers [
1,
2]. A significant amount of the energy produced in the world is used for the thermal comfort of the occupants [
3]. It is commonly considered that in single-family houses located in temperate climates, the most energy is used for heating. For this reason, architects and engineers focus on reducing the heating demand, for example by increasing thermal insulation of external walls of the designed buildings. These operations, apart from the expected reduction in heat demand, also have negative effects, for example overheating building in the warm season. The heat and mass transfer between outdoor and indoor environment is limited. Therefore, finding the right balance between reducing a building’s energy consumption and ensuring an adequate level of thermal comfort poses a major challenge.
Achieving a sufficient level of comfort in residential environments in the summer period most often requires the use of mechanical cooling devices, e.g., split air conditioners [
4], which results in the additional consumption of electricity. In developed countries, air-conditioning can account for more than half of the electricity consumption in a single flat [
5]. That is why the concept of passive cooling of a building has become so important, whereby buildings use the potential of the natural climate. One of the methods of passive cooling is the use of additional airflow by opened windows. The energy saving potential of using ventilative cooling is reflected in a large number of publications on the subject.
Mirakholi [
6] carried out the simulation of the effectiveness of natural ventilation in a residential building in Texas San Antonio (one-story building with a total area of 94 m
2); simulations were made in the EnergyPlus program. It showed that electricity consumption in air-conditioned buildings with natural ventilation can be 20% lower than in buildings without natural ventilation. The best results were obtained in April and November, up to 50% energy savings. To achieve high cooling efficiency using only natural ventilation, which results in high energy savings, the windows should be opened properly. As a consequence, it is possible to use free-cooling for a maximum period of a year while ensuring the comfort of users. In the study by Stazi et al. [
7], an analysis of the automatic window control system is presented based on indicators of thermal comfort (PMV and PPD) and indoor air quality in Mediterranean climate. Grygierek and Sarna [
8] considered two options of passive cooling in a typical Polish single-family house: the former using outside air supplied to the building by means of fans, the latter by opening windows (automatically or by residents). Fuzzy controllers for the cooling time and supply airflow control were proposed and optimized in both cases. The research has shown that cooling with external air can significantly improve thermal comfort while insignificantly increasing heating demand. In turn, Brambilla et al. [
9] analyzed the overheating hours associated with a different ventilation approach applied in an office building located in Fribourg. Among the different scenarios simulated, natural ventilation misuse showed a greater influence on the thermal human comfort, especially if coupled with low thermal mass of the building.
The effectiveness of passive techniques depends directly on the local climatic conditions, varying not only during the year but also during the day. Therefore, not every alternative method might be an adequate solution for a given location, but local climatic conditions must be always taken into consideration [
10]. Artmann et al. [
11] evaluated the effectiveness of passive cooling of buildings by ventilation in all climatic zones of Europe. They showed the high potential for night-time ventilative cooling in northern Europe and still a significant potential in the rest regions of Europe. However, owing to the inherent stochastic properties of weather patterns, a series of warmer nights can occur at some locations, where passive cooling by night-time ventilation alone might not be satisfactory to provide thermal comfort.
Another important issue in terms of the impact of climate change on buildings is the weather data files used in energy simulations. Researchers show that current weather data files used to simulate future energy and thermal behavior of buildings are not reliable [
12]. The climatic conditions of the 20th century (commonly used in a typical meteorological year) may not reflect the full range of extreme conditions that will affect the indoor environment of the building [
13]. Cui et al. [
14] pointed out that the difference between a typical meteorological year (TMY) data and current weather data can lead to variations in the simulation of building performance, so climate change is an important factor in the energy simulation process. Many studies have revealed the impacts of climate change on heating and cooling demand. For example, Invidiata and Ghisi [
12] investigated this problem in dwellings in three cities in Brazil. Using the EnergyPlus simulation program, they estimated the indoor temperature and the future annual heating and cooling energy demand. Passive cooling design strategies were implemented. The results showed an increase in annual energy demand ranging from 56% to 112% in the case of the three 2050 cities, but the use of passive strategies reduced the future annual cooling and heating demand by up to 50%. Kikumoto et al. [
15] noted the variation in energy consumption over the lifetime of buildings in Japan. Simulations showed that the current heat load of the house increases by 15% in 2034. In turn, a study by Verichev et al. [
16] analyzed the impact of climate change on energy consumption in three regions of southern Chile. Heating energy consumption in a single-family house was found to decrease by an average of 13% to 27% depending on the climate change scenario.
Northern and Central Europe are one of the regions doomed to dramatic changes as a result of global warming. While warming of the climate reduces the number of days where heating is necessary, increased cooling demand might lead to higher total energy consumption. This is of paramount importance during heat waves and peak cooling demand days [
17]. In Sweden, Dodoo et al. [
2] studied the effect of global warming on the energy performance of conventional and passive multi-family buildings. The energy consumption for heating in a conventional building decreased by 13% in 2050 and 16% in 2100, while the energy consumption for cooling increased by 33% and 42% respectively. On the other hand, energy consumption for heating a passive house dropped from 17% to 22% in 2050 and 2100, and for cooling increased from 39% to 49% respectively. The results showed that passive buildings are designed mainly to reduce heat consumption. The conclusions were confirmed in subsequent studies by this research team [
18].
The study presented in this article combines all the three issues discussed above: global warming, conventional building standard versus passive building standard, and using passive systems for cooling. Most of the previous research addresses one of these problems, or at most a combination of the two. In addition, research on the problem of building overheating has been carried out mainly in countries with a warm climate. However, there are very few studies on the effects of different climate scenarios on residential buildings in the Baltic Sea region. The aim of this work is to analyze the demand for heating and cooling, as well as human thermal comfort, in a single-family house located in Poland for three cases of climate data (TMY, real for 2018, and future for 2050) and for two cases of thermal insulation of the building envelope. For each of these cases, the possibilities of reducing energy consumption and improving thermal comfort with the use of passive ventilative cooling were investigated.
3. Results and Discussion
The comparison of annual energy demand and the thermal comfort for the cases considered was the main aim of the analysis (
Table 4). The values of heating and cooling demand were presented for the entire building and the living room (as the most representative zone of the building). In the first step, simulations were carried out for cases with mechanical cooling to compare the annual cooling and heating demand (
Figure 6). In case 1 (standard climate and insulation), the annual heating demand was 3689 kWh (including 648 kWh in the living room) and the cooling demand was 636 kWh (including 182 kWh in the living room). The value of the heating demand for the entire building was much higher than the cooling demand (about six times). In case 2, as expected, there was a reduction in the heating demand (about 31%) due to the use of better thermal insulation of the building envelope. However, on the other hand, the value of cooling demand increased (about 84%), especially in the living room (about 212%). In case 1, the cooling demand was only 17% of the heating demand, while in the second one it was as much as 46%. Furthermore, in the living room, the cooling demand was 28% of the heating demand for case 1, while for case 2, the cooling demand exceeded the heat demand and amounted to 188% of its value. The living room was the most often used room and involved the largest internal heat gains from occupants and devices. Moreover, there was a large, south window area in this room that generated large solar gains. In the case of very good building insulation, the heat losses during the colder periods of the day (e.g., at night) were smaller and the room was overheated.
In cases 3 and 4, warmer climate parameters were used, therefore the values of heating demand decreased, compared to cases 1 and 2 (about 20% and 20% respectively). In both cases, the value of heating demand was still higher than the cooling demand but in the case of 4, the difference was only 12%. For case 4 with the insulation of passive building standard, as in case of 2, the value of cooling demand was higher than heating demand in the living room. As expected, for cases with future climate (case 5 and 6) the cooling demand slightly decreased compared to cases 3 and 4 (about 5% and 8% respectively). In case 6 the values of heating and cooling demand were similar, the cooling demand was 89% of heating demand, while in the living room the value of cooling demand was almost five times higher.
Currently, Polish guidelines on the insulation of external partitions are aimed at reducing the heating demand. However, as the simulations showed, in the era of a warming climate, cooling can have a significant share in the energy demand of the building. In this case, increasing the insulation of external partitions has an adverse effect. The building becomes like a thermos and on hot days it cools down much more slowly. This problem intensifies in the case of large internal heat gains as in the presented study—a building with an area not exceeding 100 m2 is inhabited by a four-person family. However, it should be noted that the windows were not opened in this case, which could help cool the building.
In the second step, calculations were carried out for cases with passive ventilative cooling using natural airflow through open windows. The results of optimization are presented in
Figure 7. The main criterion for choosing the best solution for each case was to obtain the minimum number of discomfort hours. However, to achieve this criterion, windows had to be often opened, thus it caused a rise in heating demand. Therefore, two objective functions were adopted (H
dis and heating demand) in the research. The optimal solutions in this case provide the lowest discomfort (min H
dis) with a small rise in heating demand.
The extreme case with the lowest heating demand was when the windows were not opened in the building or the windows were opened very rarely. It is rather a theoretical case because in a building with natural ventilation people often open windows from spring to autumn. The lower the heating demand the higher the number of thermal discomfort hours, and the more insulated the building the higher discomfort. Each subsequent point in
Figure 7 indicates a possible solution to improve comfort conditions. Using a large regime for window opening in appropriate periods caused a significant improvement of thermal comfort conditions. The H
dis for the best solutions due to the heating demand varied from 2699 to 5471 h of discomfort depending on the considered case (it was from 19% to 38% of the cumulative time spent in the rooms). This comparison best shows how building insulation and climate change affect the H
dis. While the differences between heating demand in optimal solutions were from 118 to 263 kWh, the highest value was only from 3% to 12% less than the lowest. Better conditions for the use of this cooling system occur in a less insulated building (this can be seen especially in warmer climates). For case 9 in the most favorable solution from the comfort point of view (minimum value of H
dis) 31 discomfort hours were calculated; for a passive standard building, it was 52 h (case 10). For cases 11 and 12, minimum value of H
dis increased, it was 203 and 433 h of discomfort, respectively. Compared to real climate 2018 it was six and half times greater (case 11) and more than eight times greater (case 12). Along with the warming of the climate, passive cooling of the building will be able to provide comfort for a smaller period per year.
Table 5 presents the total number of discomfort hours for all rooms that were calculated for the optimal solution with the lowest H
dis. In this solution, only a few to several dozen hours of discomfort in the rooms was calculated. For all cases, the largest ratio of discomfort hours to all occupied hours was obtained for the bedroom, but it was still only 0.3% to 4.6% of the time. This room is located on the south side of the building and is a relatively small room occupied all nights by two persons. The best comfort conditions were obtained in children’s room 2 (actually, there were comfortable environmental conditions all the time, for cases 7–10). The highest values of the H
dis were obtained for case 12, it was even 4.6% for bedroom. It could be the effect of the increase in exterior temperature and the high insulation of the external partitions. Most of the discomfort hours were calculated in the summer (
Table 6), but the share of its time did not exceed 4.7% of all occupied hours in this period for cases with standard and real climates. This was possible owing to the appropriate window opening control and thus obtaining various values of air change rate in the rooms (
Table 7). In this study, the high airtightness of the building was assumed. Due to this fact, the air change rate values for cases 1 to 6 were low (
Table 7); the mean value was approximately 0.1 h
−1. In cases 7 to 12, the opening of the window had a huge impact on the calculated mean and maximum infiltration airflows. The window opening period varies depending on the optimal solution. To obtain the best thermal comfort conditions, the window opening area had to be larger and the opening time had to be longer, causing increased air exchange. It should also be emphasized that in the research it was a tilted window, not fully open, which is a common practice used in single-family houses in Poland—windows are often tilted throughout the summer season. Single-family houses are usually not on busy roads, so noise should not be a problem. The maximum instantaneous air change rates were not very high and amounted to 4–7 h
−1. Windows were opened mainly in summer; average air change rates did not exceed 1 h
−1. So, the risk of a draft was low. Nevertheless, this problem requires further investigation.
In the case of the future climate the value of Hdis for all occupied hours in the summer period increased significantly from 8.4% to even 18.1%. Such an increase in Hdis may be noticeable by the residents and significantly affect their dissatisfaction with the use of this passive cooling system.
The least favorable conditions occurred in the passive insulated building (case 12). In unheated months, the value of discomfort hours was higher than in other months. In this period, the external temperature was significantly higher. Due to this fact, thermal comfort could not be obtained all the time using only ventilative cooling.
Figure 8 presents the variation of indoor air temperature. For the cases with the mechanical cooling system, the temperature values were consistent with the assumption, and the largest differences were 1 °C (case 3). However, in variants with ventilative cooling, the indoor temperature was often different by 1–2 °C from the assumed value. Indoor temperature values for cases with 2018 weather data were higher than for cases with standard weather data. In cases with future climate values of indoor temperature exceeded even 30 °C if ventilative cooling was used.
On the basis of the comparison of annual heating demand for mechanical cooling and ventilative cooling (
Figure 9) the higher values of this parameter for ventilative cooling for all cases were noted, which are associated with greater heat demand for ventilation. However, the differences were not significant (from 2% to 8%).
In single-family houses heat and cold are usually produced by various sources, so the costs of energy consumption for heating and cooling were calculated and compared. It was assumed that a gas boiler was the heat source (the most popular solution in Poland) and electric split air conditioners were the source for cooling. The efficiency of the systems was assumed in accordance with the Polish standard [
51]. The market prices were used to assess the heating and cooling costs as follows: 0.12 EUR/kWh for electricity and 0.04 EUR/kWh for gas [
50]. Results are presented in
Table 8. The costs of heating a building with ventilative cooling were higher from 2% to 8% depending on the case. However, considering both annual heating and cooling costs, the total costs were higher for buildings with mechanical cooling (from 5% to even 21% depending on the case).