1. Introduction
The state of Qatar is ranked as having the world’s 5th (nominal, 2022) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita with
$118,771 and with a GDP of PPP at
$319 billion (nominal, 2022), which ranks it as 56th in the world (nominal, 2022) GDP [
1]. The backbone of Qatar’s economy comprises oil and natural gas, contributing to over 70% of the government’s total revenue, representing over 60% of the GDP, and making up approximately 85% of export earnings. The State of Qatar is one of the major LNG producers in the world, with a total production capacity of more than 75 million tons/per annum, and is expected to increase to 43%, reaching 110 million tons/annum by 2025 [
2,
3]. As the oil and gas sector is the most important sector, it is vital to ensure its reliability and protect it from future crises by developing its resilience capacity. Qatar has gone through major challenges in recent years, such as the June 2017 blockade by some of its neighboring countries, mainly Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Egypt, as well as the global pandemic of COVID-19. The blockade and global pandemic had significant economic consequences on the country. However, the country quickly implemented strategic measures to mitigate the blockade’s impact. The oil and gas sector has shown a remarkable resilience during these crises due to its preparedness and readiness to deal with such a disruptive event.
The term resilience has recently gained much attention globally, especially after the recent COVID-19 pandemic and other natural disasters. People have realized the importance of developing resilient systems and organizations capable of absorbing disruption and returning to a stable state [
4]. So, what does resilience mean? Resilience originates from a Latin word that means “bouncing back” and has been used in modern business terms as organizational resilience, which means the ability of an organization or a system to rebound to its steady state conditions after going through a disruptive event that disrupts its normal conditions [
5]. The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (2009) defines resilience as “the ability of a system to control internal and external disruptions to continue its operation” [
6].
Similarly, the definition used by Wreathall [
7], defined organizational resilience as “the ability of an organization (system) to keep or recover quickly to a stable state, allowing it to continue operations during and after a major mishap or in the presence of continuous significant stresses”. Resilience Engineering (RE) concentrates on assessing an organization’s capacity to cope with disruptive occurrences. It is related to the safe approach for systems and organizations to adopt to allow them to deal with complicated and unpredictable working conditions [
8]. “RE acknowledges the inability to specify all possible threats and responses; instead, it provides methods and tools to manage safety and productivity” [
9]. Wreathall [
7] stated that “If resilience is to ensure that the organization keeps (or recovers to) a safe, stable state, there are several processes that must go on to accomplish this goal”. The concept of RE has been rapidly increasing during the last decade analyzing organizations from different perspectives ranging from risks and safety, human, ecology, and others [
5,
10,
11].
Several approaches for assessing organizational resilience have been published which can be categorized into qualitative and quantitative [
5], including different methods such as probabilistic, graph theory, fuzzy logic and analytical [
12,
13]. Others used mathematical approaches as suggested by Vugrin et al. [
14], to assess organizational resilience using the concept of system impact and recovery costs. As resilience cannot be implemented through simple policies and procedures “resilience cannot be engineered simply by introducing more procedures, safeguards, and barriers. Resilience engineering instead requires a continuous monitoring of system performance, of how things are done” [
15]. The assessment of organizational resilience remains challenging as it attempts to assess a dynamic process of a nonphysical system impacted by how it interacts with disruptions over time given the nature of system performance fluctuations [
10,
13].
In this study, an attempt is made to use the expertise of oil and gas professionals to assess and develop a set of 24 Resilience Engineering Indicators (REIs) and rank them in importance, which can then be applied to develop organizational resilience. In other words, the study will provide the most important resilient indicators that made Qatar’s oil and gas sector resilient. Furthermore, it will answer the main question of how we can improve organizational resilience by applying the learnings from Qatar’s oil and gas sector. Wreathall [
7] defined six themes or resilience dimensions (RDs) which make organizations resilient. These RDs are Management Commitment, Learning Culture, Reporting Culture, Awareness, Preparedness, and Flexibility. This study uses 24 developed REIs derived from published literature [
7,
14,
16] and experts’ opinions from the oil and gas industry to validate these indicators under the umbrella of the six RDs by Wreathall for resilient systems [
7].
3. Research Methodology
This section presents the methodology used in this study.
Figure 1 below depicts and explains the steps involved in the methodology applied in this study. This study has employed a qualitative research approach by first developing a draft list of REIs gathered from literature relevant to resilience and complying with the RDs developed by Wreathall [
7]. Then, a survey questionnaire assesses these indicators’ importance and relevance in building organizational resilience capacity.
To validate these REIs and their relevance to the RDs along with the rating questions, a smaller focus group of industry experts from the oil and gas sector in Qatar was selected for this validation process. The survey questionnaire was first sent in May 2022 to this focus group of 13 experts, mostly from the oil and gas and academic sectors. This validation process aimed to ensure that these questions are clearly understood, and it assesses the REIs and their impact on organizational resilience. The proposed 24 REIs were accepted by the experts, however, the relation of these REIs to the RDs were modified based on their feedback, and the survey questionnaire was finally modified and updated. As a result, a recommendation of 24 REIs was considered for this study.
The final survey questionnaire was designed with 34 questions, with six general questions about participants and their organization’s demographic information. It was followed by 24 ranking-based questions for the REIs, including general questions related to resilience management. Developing the questionnaire was through an online website tool called the Survey Monkey website (2023). The survey questionnaire was distributed to participants via the Survey Monkey website link. The survey questionnaire was sent in January 2023 to a larger sample, and 113 responses were collected. The survey result was then analyzed using statistical methods, which will be discussed in the subsequent sections.
6. Conclusions and Recommendations
There is no doubt that Qatar’s oil and gas sector demonstrated resilience capacity; this was tested during disruptive events such as the June 2017 blockade by some of the GCC neighboring countries or the recent pandemic of COVID-19. As per
Table 4, 70.4% of participating organizations in this study had a high level of resilience, and approximately 25% had a moderate level of resilience. Therefore, measuring REIs for these organizations will lead to a good understanding of what made them resilient. The approach followed in this study is to assess these organizations based on how well they comply with the identified REIs, which were derived from RDs developed by Wreathall [
7]. The main interest is identifying the characteristics of resilient organizations, such as resources, strategies, and behaviors that strengthen organizational resilience [
4]. Participants were asked to evaluate these REIs based on their importance to their organizations, which resulted in making resilient organizations.
Based on the outcome of this study, the RII values and ranking of proposed REIs were calculated based on agreement scale values from all the participants.
We found that the ten most critical REIs suggest the following course of action: building a crisis response team with defined roles and responsibilities during crisis, developing an Information Technology System (ITS), ensuring the availability of local expertise and R&D capabilities, ensuring the availability of suppliers and vendors, as well as ensuring the support of services of Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM). Furthermore, ensure the supply of materials and spare parts to avoid operation disruptions along with developing risk management systems, and building continues improvements in the system to capture lessons learned and implement best practices. It also emphasizes making sure that the working environment has a healthy working culture that encourages speaking up and reporting issues and concerns to be addressed in a timely fashion. The following
Figure 6 highlights top rated REIs with their relevant RDs.
In conclusion, this research shows the top ten Resilience Engineering Indicators (REIs) contributing to the organization’s resilience and the top five most important Resilient Dimensions (RDs). Moreover, this is the first study to evaluate and assess the organizational resilience level in Qatar’s oil and gas sector. This study’s results can be integrated into different organizations’ strategies to improve the efforts to enhance the national response to disturbances in governance. Furthermore, participants in this study provided feedback (as a response to question #29), and as a result, the researchers would recommend the additional following points as suggested to improve the organization’s resilience performance:
Develop an immediate response plan (IRP) or Be-Well Prepared plans or backup plans as supported by lessons learned and best practices for more flexibility and innovation in managing business with minimal human interference.
Adopt fast digital transformation and artificial intelligence digitalization programming.
Develop structured training for all employees on crisis management. This also includes the COVID Task Force to mitigate any future threat.
Increase investment in internal R&D and Qatari talent to develop local expertise.
Implement a more dynamic human resources process.
Empower the local market and build relationships with more reliable suppliers.
This study has a limitation in using organizational resilience lagging indicators to build the foundation of organizational resilience. This is an opportunity for future work to analyze leading indicators to build resilience.
The research findings, as well as the limitations of the research, pave the way for future research. The following are the possibilities to extend this research by conducting case studies on specific oil and gas companies to validate these resilience indicators for future applications. Develop a resilience framework using the study outcome of these REIs. Develop organizational resilience assessment tools to measure organizational resilience and identify gaps. Developing a set of tools to help the implementation of resilience for different organizations.