The Demographic Changes and Their Driving Forces on the Loess Plateau since 4000 Years BP
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Data and Methods
Order | Dataset | Type | Time Span | Temporal Resolution | Spatial Range | Original Material | Data Source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Population | Historical records | 2000 BC– 2000 AD | — | LP | Household registrationinformation | [10,17,31,32] |
2 | Cropland area | Reconstructed | 2000 BC– 2000 AD | 1000 and 100 years before and after 0 AD, respectively | LP | Datasets reconstructed based on population and land use | [7,33,34,35] http://themasites.pbl.nl/en/themasites/hyde/download/index.html (accessed on 20 June 2020) |
3 | Grain yield per unit area | Inferred | 475 BC– 1911 AD | — | All China (covering the LP) | Estimated based on system of weights and measures, population, cropland area and grain ration | [28] |
4 | Tax in China | Inferred | 206 BC– 1911 AD | — | All China (covering the LP) | Chinese historical documents | [27] |
5 | Precipitation | Reconstructed | 2000 BC– 2000 AD | — | YR Basin (covering the LP) | — | [25] |
6 | Temperature | Reconstructed | 2000 BC– 2000 AD | — | All China (covering the LP) | Estimated based on phenological and meteorological information in historical documents | [24] |
7 | Drought and gale events | Historical records | 2000 BC– 2000 AD | 100 years | North China (covering the LP) | Annual drought/gales derived from the historical archives | [26] |
8 | War frequency | Historical records | 2000 BC– 1911 AD | 20 years | LP | A compendium that records information on the wars in China | [29] |
9 | Immigration frequency | Historical records | 2000 BC– 1949 AD | 20 years | From the LP | Immigration chronology | [30] |
3. Results and Discussions
3.1. Climate, Agricultural Technique, Grain Yield per Unit Area and Cropland Area
3.2. Grain Yield, Cropland Area, Policy Initiatives and Population Growth
3.3. Climate, Wars and Depopulation
3.4. Historical Stages of Demographic Changes and Their Driving Factors
3.5. Limitations of the Study
4. Conclusions
- (1)
- Although the climate has changed from warm and wet to cold and dry over the past 4000 years, the invention and development of agricultural techniques such as the iron plough and ridge cultivation techniques and the introduction of drought-resistant crops have ensured continued increases in cropland area and grain yield per unit area on the LP.
- (2)
- The sudden increase in population after the Warring States (475–221 BC) was due to increases in cropland area and grain yield per unit area compared to the period before the Warring States, but its exponential increasing trend depended on tax policies, especially the abolition of the poll tax, which reduced the procreation cost.
- (3)
- Peasant revolts and wars for power in each dynasty and military conflicts on the boundary between the farming and pasture areas during the dry and cold period led to population mortality and migration, causing the population of the LP to show a cyclical pattern of decline with the change in dynasties.
- (4)
- The history of population development on the LP included four stages: the “sparsely populated period of primitive agriculture” with poor agricultural technology and low agricultural productivity; the “population fluctuation period of traditional agriculture” with an increase in cropland area and grain yield but limited by tax and warfare; the “population growth period of traditional agriculture” with the abolition of poll tax and reduced frequency of warfare; and the “rapid population growth period of modern agriculture” with no war, industrialization and a market-oriented economy.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Huang, T.; Liu, B.; Zhao, Y. The Demographic Changes and Their Driving Forces on the Loess Plateau since 4000 Years BP. Sustainability 2023, 15, 7095. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15097095
Huang T, Liu B, Zhao Y. The Demographic Changes and Their Driving Forces on the Loess Plateau since 4000 Years BP. Sustainability. 2023; 15(9):7095. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15097095
Chicago/Turabian StyleHuang, Tao, Baoyuan Liu, and Yunge Zhao. 2023. "The Demographic Changes and Their Driving Forces on the Loess Plateau since 4000 Years BP" Sustainability 15, no. 9: 7095. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15097095