A Bayesian Approach to Hydrological Modeling of Groundwater/Surface Water Interaction

A special issue of Water (ISSN 2073-4441). This special issue belongs to the section "Hydrogeology".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (25 November 2023) | Viewed by 996

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Missouri-Kansas City, Kansas City, MO 64110, USA
Interests: groundwater modeling; geostatistics; hydroinformatics; hydrogeophysics; remote sensing

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Upper Midwest Water Science Center, United States Geological Survey, Lansing, MI 48911-4107, USA
Interests: groundwater modeling; groundwater/surface water interaction

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Groundwater/surface water interactions have been widely studied in recent decades, and computational modeling has enhanced our understanding of the physical and chemical processes that occur at the interface between a stream bed and groundwater aquifer. With the dramatic increase in computing speed and memory, computation of complex hydrologic systems has become more comprehensive, involving large-scale simulations and more dynamic settings. However, these hydrologic models remain uncertain due to the heterogeneity of hydrologic systems and non-linear dynamics of hydrological processes. The Bayesian approach has been actively adopted for hydrological modeling, especially for groundwater, providing cost-effective data collection, optimal parameterization, reducing model uncertainty, and allowing reliable decision making for remediation and water resource management. Recent advances in high-resolution remote sensing and machine learning/artificial intelligence have increased the effectiveness of the Bayesian approach to hydrological modeling.

This Special Issue addresses the recent advances of Bayesian methods in hydrological modeling, with particular emphasis on surface and groundwater interactions. Potential topics include (but are not limited to):

  • Bayesian statistics in hydrologic modeling.
  • Bayesian updating of model parameters and uncertainty.
  • Reliability analysis and Bayesian in remedial design performance and water resource management.
  • Integration of in situ and remote sensing data using Bayesian statistics.
  • Bayesian machine learning and artificial intelligence for hydrological processes.

Both original research articles and review articles are welcome.

Prof. Dr. Jejung Lee
Dr. Howard Reeves
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • bayesian statistics
  • groundwater and surface water interaction
  • uncertainty analysis
  • reliability
  • remedial design

Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

17 pages, 4577 KiB  
Article
Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern China
by Han Ding, Qiuru Ren, Chengcheng Wang, Haitao Chen, Yuqiu Wang and Zeli Li
Water 2023, 15(16), 2910; https://doi.org/10.3390/w15162910 - 12 Aug 2023
Viewed by 800
Abstract
Excessive phosphorus in aquatic systems poses a threat to ecosystem stability and human health. Precipitation has a profound influence on the phosphorus biogeochemical process; however, it has been inadequately considered at the watershed scale. In this study, the Bayesian latent variable regression model [...] Read more.
Excessive phosphorus in aquatic systems poses a threat to ecosystem stability and human health. Precipitation has a profound influence on the phosphorus biogeochemical process; however, it has been inadequately considered at the watershed scale. In this study, the Bayesian latent variable regression model was utilized to quantify the impact of rainfall on the concentration of total phosphorus using daily monitoring data from 2019 to 2021. The results revealed a piecewise linear relationship between total phosphorus concentration and precipitation. It was further inferred that the breakpoint (The total rainfall during a single rainfall event equal to 39.4 ± 0.45 mm) represented the tipping point for the transformation of the primary river runoff generation mechanism. Subsequently, the excess phosphorus load caused by rainfall events was estimated in the Shahe basin by combining the regional nutrient management approach with the results of the Bayesian latent variable regression model. The results indicated that rainfall events were one of the most significant sources of TP loads from 2006 to 2017, accounting for 28.2% of the total. Non-artificial land, including farmland, forests, and grasslands, serves as the primary source of the excess phosphorus load resulting from rainfall events. This study provides insights into how to quantify the phosphorus load resulting from rainfall events at the basin scale, which is valuable for phosphorus management. Environmental managers should prioritize the regulation of phosphorus in non-artificial land moving forward. Implementing hierarchical management based on calibrated curve numbers and soil phosphorus content could prove to be an efficient approach for regulating phosphorus in the watershed. Full article
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