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Forests
Special Issues
Modeling National and Global Forest Product Markets and Trade
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Modeling National and Global Forest Product Markets and Trade

A special issue of Forests (ISSN 1999-4907). This special issue belongs to the section "Forest Economics, Policy, and Social Science".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (9 June 2023) | Viewed by 4769

Special Issue Editors

Dr. Prakash Nepal

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Guest Editor
USDA Forest Service, Forest Products Laboratory, Madison, WI 53726, USA
Interests: forest policy and economics; forest product markets and trade; forest sector modeling; economics of forest-based climate change mitigation
Dr. Franziska Schier

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Thuenen Institute of Forestry, Leuschnerstraße 91, 21031 Hamburg, Germany
Interests: wood product markets; forest sector modelling; bio-economy; economics
Dr. Jesse Henderson

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA
Interests: forest economics; disturbance; climate change; economic dynamics; landowner behavior
Dr. Jinggang Guo

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Department of Agricultural Economics & Agribusiness, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, USA
Interests: timber market; forest carbon markets; land use change; market integration

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Forests and the wood products sector are complex but integral systems of the global economy, spanning multiple sectors and countries along the value-added chain, linked through international trade of wood products. Forests and wood products play crucial roles in global climate change mitigation. Therefore, regional decisions in forest management activities and consumption and production of forest products have implications for other countries as well. Because the sector has diverse and partly interlinked subsectors, its analysis requires the holistic consideration of intersectoral competition, e.g., for raw materials, as well as technological and socio-economic interdependences, both domestically and internationally. The forest sector is characterized by additional specific features, e.g., long-term planning horizons and operating perspectives as well as restricted resources allocation, making planning and decision processes even more complex. At the same time, there is a lack of consistent information on the realistic long-term alternatives for the use of forest resources. The eventual consumption decisions are made by consumers and many alternative materials compete in the markets and in the manufacturing processes of wood and wood products. Modelling approaches are well-proven and frequently used instruments for the analysis of trends and long-term developments of forests and the wood products sector.

This Special Issue intends to focus on the most recent advances in forest sector modeling and how these developed models have been applied to forest product markets in the context of the global bioeconomy. Themes that could be addressed in this issue include, but are not limited to are:

  1. Impacts of the pandemic or other shocks on forests and the wood products sector.
  2. Forest sector impacts of future increases in use of new and emerging wood products (e.g., mass timber, nanocellulose, wood-derived chemicals).
  3. Impacts on forests and the wood products sector of trade tariff and non-tariff related barriers (e.g., trade sanctions for Russian wood products).
  4. Carbon mitigation benefits of forests and the wood products sector including avoided emissions benefits due to substitution of wood products for carbon-intensive non-wood materials.
  5. Effects on forests and the wood products sector of increases in forest areas resulting from climate mitigation efforts (e.g., Bonn challenge, trillion tree initiative).
  6. Effects of future increases in protected areas resulting from proposed global 30X30 targets.
  7. Carbon offset markets and payments for forest sector carbon.
  8. Forest fuels reduction treatments and wood energy markets.
  9. Impacts of climate smart forestry strategies on forest carbon and wood products market.
  10. Effects of climate change on forests (e.g., changes in forest productivity) and the associated impacts on wood products market.

Dr. Prakash Nepal
Dr. Franziska Schier
Dr. Jesse Henderson
Dr. Jinggang Guo
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Forests is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2600 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • traditional wood products
  • new and emerging wood products
  • forest carbon
  • harvested wood products carbon
  • international trade
  • avoided emissions
  • climate smart forestry
  • wood energy
  • forest sector outlook
  • environmental policy

Published Papers (2 papers)

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Research

20 pages, 14945 KiB  
Article
Estimating Climate-Sensitive Wildfire Risk and Tree Mortality Models for Use in Broad-Scale U.S. Forest Carbon Projections
by Raju Pokharel, Gregory Latta and Sara B. Ohrel
Forests 2023, 14(2), 302; https://doi.org/10.3390/f14020302 - 03 Feb 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1397
Abstract
This study utilizes forest inventory and climate attributes as the basis for estimating models of wildfire risk and associated biomass loss (tree mortality) and then demonstrates how they can be applied in calculating CO2 emissions related to the incidence of wildfires from [...] Read more.
This study utilizes forest inventory and climate attributes as the basis for estimating models of wildfire risk and associated biomass loss (tree mortality) and then demonstrates how they can be applied in calculating CO2 emissions related to the incidence of wildfires from U.S. forests. First, we use the full set of over 150,000 FIA plots of national forest inventory and climatic parameters to estimate models of the annual probability of wildfire occurrence and loss of live tree biomass. Then, maps of the spatial allocation of both the model-derived probability of wildfire occurrences and tree mortality are presented at the national level. The probability of wildfire occurrences and tree mortality were defined by a complex non-linear association of climatic conditions and forest ownerships, available aboveground biomass, and the age of the stand. Then, we provide an example of how these models can estimate potential CO2 emissions from wildfires by using FIA inventory data. We estimated 6.10, 16.65, 22.75, and 31.01 million metric tons of annual CO2 emissions with low, medium, high, and catastrophic combustion rates, respectively, from forests due to wildfire in the continental U.S. The wildfire risk and biomass loss due to tree mortality maps can be used by landowners, managers, public agencies, and other stakeholders in identifying high-risk wildfire zones and the potential CO2 emissions. These equations can also help estimate fire risk and associated CO2 emissions for future climate conditions to provide insight into climate change-related wildfire occurrences. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modeling National and Global Forest Product Markets and Trade)
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32 pages, 4766 KiB  
Article
Assessment of Possible Production Leakage from Implementing the EU Biodiversity Strategy on Forest Product Markets
by Franziska Schier, Susanne Iost, Björn Seintsch, Holger Weimar and Matthias Dieter
Forests 2022, 13(8), 1225; https://doi.org/10.3390/f13081225 - 02 Aug 2022
Cited by 11 | Viewed by 3957
Abstract
The EU Biodiversity Strategy (EUBDS) for 2030 aims at regaining biodiversity by strengthening the protection of nature in the European Union. This study models and analyses possible impacts of the EUBDS on the production and trade of forest-based products in the EU and [...] Read more.
The EU Biodiversity Strategy (EUBDS) for 2030 aims at regaining biodiversity by strengthening the protection of nature in the European Union. This study models and analyses possible impacts of the EUBDS on the production and trade of forest-based products in the EU and non-EU countries in two alternative scenarios. Implementing EUBDS measures would allow a maximum EU roundwood production of roughly 281 M m3 in 2030 in the intensive and 490 M m3 in the moderate scenario. Since in the reference scenario, the EU roundwood production amounts to 539 M m3 in 2030, this represent a reduction of −48% and −9% in 2030, respectively. Until 2050, the production further decreases and accounts for 42% and 90% of the reference production. Globally, the EU roundwood production deficit is compensated partly (roughly between 50%–60%) by increasing production of roundwood in non-EU countries (e.g., USA, Russia, Canada, China and Brazil) whereas the remaining share of the EU production deficit is no longer produced and consumed worldwide. In the EU, reduced roundwood availability leads to a lower production of wood-based products, although, apparent consumption of wood-based products remains similar. This is mainly caused by significantly lower export volumes of wood-based products and, for some product groups, by significantly increased imports as well. This is partly due to unchanged assumptions regarding income and thus, demand patterns. However, on a global level, decreased production and consumption of wood-based products could lead to a growing use of non-bio-based resources to substitute wood-products. Our study also shows that the magnitude of effects strongly depends on how much the use of forest resources is actually restricted. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modeling National and Global Forest Product Markets and Trade)
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