Dear Colleagues,

Modeling the COVID-19 outbreak requires considering a large amount of data at the world level concerning the reported number of new cases, deaths, and people vaccinated, by region and by age group or other groups. 

These data must first be analyzed with statistical methods (time series analysis, principal component analysis, technical classification, etc.), then be used to build refutable models of different types, deterministic (differentiable or discrete) or stochastic. 

The consideration of the spatial dimension can lead to diffusion models, that of the age of the patients to population dynamics models and that of the advance in the dynamics of the infection to variable reproduction number models (due to characteristics of contagiousness, virulence, and susceptibility in the host and the virus changing over time caused by viral mutations, environmental changes, host immunity, public health policy, etc.). 

A combination of these three types of models is also possible, with the additional consideration of stochastic variability on the observed data and the parameters introduced into the models. All articles dealing with statistical and dynamic aspects of COVID-19 disease, allowing its statistical description, the study of its mechanisms, and the forecasting of its evolution will be considered in the Special Issue “Analysis of Modeling and Statistics for COVID-19”.

Prof. Dr. Martin Kröger
Prof. Dr. Reinhard Schlickeiser
Prof. Dr. Pierre Magal
Prof. Dr. Jacques Demongeot
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

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Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. COVID is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 1000 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

• COVID-19 statistics
• epidemiological modeling
• time series analysis
• prediction techniques
• outbreak spatial diffusion
• daily reproduction number
• contagion modeling
• viral mutation modeling
• virulence mechanisms
• host immunity modeling
• mitigation measures dynamics
• vaccination policy