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Article

Safety Risk Assessment of a Pb-Zn Mine Based on Fuzzy-Grey Correlation Analysis

1
School of Electrical and Information Technology, Yunnan Minzu University, Kunming 650031, China
2
School of Computer Science and Engineering, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048, China
3
School of Software, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China
4
Faculty of Applied Mathematics, Silesian University of Technology, 44-100 Gliwice, Poland
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Electronics 2020, 9(1), 130; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics9010130
Submission received: 3 December 2019 / Revised: 30 December 2019 / Accepted: 7 January 2020 / Published: 9 January 2020

Abstract

:
Improving safety management and risk evaluation methods is important for the global mining industry, which is the backbone of the industrial development of our society. To prevent any accidental loss or harm to human life and property, a safety risk assessment method is needed to perform the continuous risk assessment of mines. Based on the requirements of mine safety evaluation, this paper proposes the Pb-Zn mine safety risk evaluation model based on the fuzzy-grey correlation analysis method. The model is compared with the risk assessment model based on the fuzzy TOPSIS method. Through the experiments, our results demonstrate that the proposed fuzzy-grey correlation model is more sensitive to risk and has less effect on the evaluation results under different scoring attitudes (cautious, rational, and relaxed).

1. Introduction

Mining ensures the supply of the required material as the foundation for the industrial development of our society, but also is the cause of many accidents and deaths worldwide [1]. Therefore, mine safety is very important to ensure the sustainable development of the global economy [2]. To prevent mine accidents, mine safety risk should be assessed and properly managed. Safety risk management [3], the evaluation and mitigation of the safety risks of the consequences of hazards, has gradually developed into an independent research discipline, because of the continuous development of risk analysis and control theory. Improving the level of safety management has become an urgent real requirement for business enterprises since the emergence of globalization and the introduction of corporate social responsibility. Researchers have done many experiments using fuzzy logic [4] in the field of risk assessment, including hazardous industrial installations [5,6], the aluminum industry [7], hydropower stations [8], shipping routes [9], supply chains [10], railway transportation systems [11], construction projects and green buildings [12,13], and occupational health and safety [14,15].
There are many risk assessment methods specifically dedicated to evaluating industrial or mining safety, for example fuzzy logic [16,17,18], nature inspired intelligence [19], neural networks [20,21], set pair analysis [22,23], the cloud model [24,25], grey system theory [26], and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) [27]. Shi et al. [28] suggested grey-fuzzy evaluation integrated with grey statistics, AHP, grey correlation analysis (GCA), and fuzzy judgment for assessing the eco-environment vulnerability. Shi [29] adopted the grey-fuzzy evaluation method for vulnerability evaluation of teaching quality. Wang et al. [30] proposed the hybrid method based on GCA and fuzzy comprehensive judgment (FCJ) to evaluate the quality of passenger train service. In 2014, the order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), a multi-criteria decision support method, was proposed to assess the risks of underground coal mines associated with human health and safety [31]. Verma and Chaudhri integrated the fuzzy reasoning technique and fuzzy AHP approaches for the assessment of the risk levels related to the risk factors in the mining industry [32]. Petrović et al. proposed a model of the risk evaluation of mining equipment failure based on the fuzzy sets and analyzed the detectability, occurrence, and severity of the risk indicators [33]. Wang et al. estimated and ranked all risk factors to support the safety managers in the mining industry by using the fuzzy AHP [34]. Nawrocki and Jonek-Kowalska provided a framework for joint internal and industrial assessment of operational risk using fuzzy sets [35]. Verma and Chaudhri presented a review of risk evaluation methods used in the global mining industry [36]. By using AHP, Yang et al. suggested a fuzzy evaluation model for mine water and sand inrush caused by underground mining [37]. By using fuzzy AHP to prioritize risk factors, Ghasemi et al. presented a methodology to evaluate the roof fall susceptibility during retreat mining [38]. Wang et al. suggested a fuzzy fault tree analysis method to evaluate the risk of coal dust explosions [39]. Samantra et al. described a risk based decision-support methodology to select an appropriate safety indicator system for the underground coal mining industry by using interval valued fuzzy rules to model subjectivity and vagueness [40]. Bao et al. presented a safety and occupational health management system for the mining industry by choosing gas, noise, and dust risk factors [41]. Samantra et al. presented a hierarchical structure of occupational health hazards in an underground coal mine by using fuzzy rules for translating linguistic data into digital risk ratings [42]. Qiu et al. combined fuzzy Delphi AHP and grey relational analysis to assess the risk of water inrush in mines [43]. Han et al. used the mixed center-point triangular whitening weight function to assess coal mine industry safety in China [44].
Grey theory, originally introduced by Deng [45,46], is a decision-making method to address the systems described by incomplete information. The grey relational analysis is an analytical method for the evaluation of alternatives and addressing complex relations between multiple factors and variables. It allows for studying problems where only partial information is known, for example for uncertain systems with few data available. Grey theory has been adopted for data modelling and forecasting, systems’ analysis, as well as for decision-support and control [47,48,49].
Based on the previous studies and considering the actual situation of the Pb-Zn mine, we propose the safety risk ranking and classification evaluation model of the Pb-Zn mine based on the fuzzy-grey correlation method. We compare our method with the fuzzy TOPSIS risk assessment model under the same index to verify the proposed method and present the results.
The structural organization of the remaining parts of the paper is as follows. We describe the proposed methods based on fuzzy-grey theory in Section 2. We describe the comprehensive risk evaluation model based on fuzzy-grey correlation in Section 3. We present the results of fuzzy-grey correlation risk rating assessment in Section 4. We discuss the results in Section 5. Finally, we present conclusions in Section 6.

2. Methods

2.1. Preliminaries

In the following, we provide the definition of the related concepts of fuzzy numbers.
Definition 1.
([50]). The normal convex fuzzy sets on the real number field R are called the fuzzy numbers; the regular closed convex fuzzy sets are called the closed fuzzy numbers; the regular bounded closed convex fuzzy sets are called the bounded closed fuzzy numbers. If A ˜ is the fuzzy number and   A 1   =   1 cut is a single point set, that is A 1 = { x 0 } , then A ˜ is a strictly fuzzy number.
Definition 2.
([51]). Let A ˜   be a fuzzy number; A ˜   is set S u p p A ˜ = ( a 1 ,   a 2   ) , a 1 > a 2 ; if:
  • a 1 0 , set A ˜ to a positive fuzzy number, indicated by   A ˜ > 0 ;
  • a 2 0 , set A ˜   to a negative fuzzy number, indicated by   A   ˜ < 0 ;
  • a 1   <   0 ,   a 2   >   0 , set A ˜ to a zero fuzzy number, indicated by A ˜ 0 or A ˜ 0 ;
  • a 1   <   0 ,   a 2   >   0 and   μ A ˜ ( 0 ) = 1 , set A ˜ to a zero fuzzy number, indicated by   A ˜ = 0 .
Definition 3.
([52]). Let any fuzzy numbers be represented by a pair of functions and any fuzzy number be set b ˜ = ( b L ( r ) , b R ( r ) ) to satisfy for r ,   0 < r < 1 : (1) b L ( r ) is a bounded left continuous non-decreasing function; (2) b R ( r ) is a bounded right continuous non-increasing function; (3) b L ( r ) b R ( r ) . Then, the fuzzy number b ˜ = ( b L ( r ) , b R ( r ) ) is a function pair.
Definition 4.
Let fuzzy number A ˜ have membership degree:
μ A ˜ ( x ) = { 0 ,   x < a x a b a ,   a x b x c b c ,   b x c 0 ,   x > c
Let us call A ˜ the triangular fuzzy number denoted by A ˜ =   ( a , b , c ) .
Definition 5.
([53]). Let E be a fuzzy set on R ; the membership function denoted by E ( x ) , x R . If E ( x ) , satisfies these properties: (1) E ( 0 ) = 1 ; (2) E ( x ) is a monotonically increasing left continuous function in the interval 1 , 0 ) and in the interval 0 , 1 is a monotonically decreasing right continuous function; (3) when < x < 1 or 1 < x < + , E ( x ) = 0 . Then, the fuzzy set E   is a fuzzy structured element on R .
Definition 6.
([53]). Let E be a fuzzy element on R ; if (1)   x ( 1 ,   1 ) , E ( x )   > 0 ; (2) E ( x ) is continuous and strictly monotonically increasing in the interval 1 ,   0 ) and continuous and strictly monotonically decreasing in the interval 0 , 1 , then call E the regular fuzzy structure element. If   E ( x ) = E ( x ) , then E is a symmetric structured element.
Definition 7.
Let fuzzy sets E have membership functions:
E ( x ) = { 1 + x , x [ 1 , 0 ] 1 x , x [ 0 , 1 ] 0 , o t h e r
Call it a triangular fuzzy structured element.

2.2. Fuzzy-Grey Relation Ranking Method Based on the Structured Element Method

The fuzzy-grey relation ranking method based on the structured element method is described as follows:
Step 1: Fuzzy structure meta-representation of the fuzzy decision matrix.
The original data fuzzy matrix X ˜ is constructed by the known risk values.
X ˜ = ( x ˜ 11 x ˜ 12 x ˜ 1 n x ˜ 21 x ˜ 22 x ˜ 2 n x ˜ m 1 x ˜ m 2 x ˜ m n )
where x ˜ i j ( i = 1 , 2 , , m , j = 1 , 2 , , n ) represents the risk value R M i j (fuzzy number) of the evaluation object i in the evaluation index j . Let E be a regular fuzzy structured element, and use the structured element to represent the fuzzy number:
x ˜ i j = f i j x ( E )
where f i j x ( x ) , x [ 1 ,   1 ] is a monotonically increasing function.
Step 2: Assign weight to the fuzzy decision matrix, then the fuzzy decision matrix would be:
V ˜ = ( v ˜ 11 v ˜ 12 v ˜ 1 n v ˜ 21 v ˜ 22 v ˜ 2 n v ˜ m 1 v ˜ m 2 v ˜ m n )
Among them v ˜ i j = w ˜ j x ˜ i j = g j ( E ) f i j x ( E ) , i = 1 , 2 , , m , j = 1 , 2 , , n . w ˜ j = g j ( E ) is the fuzzy weight, and g j ( x ) , x [ 1 ,   1 ] is a monotonically increasing function. For the convenience of description, let v ˜ i j = f i j ( E ) , f i j = g j f i j x .
Step 3: Determine the ideal object v ˜ 0 that is the optimal index set; denoted by v ˜ 0 = ( v ˜ 01 , v ˜ 02 , , v ˜ 0 n ) . Usually, the optimal value of the j th index in all the subjects is taken as the value of v ˜ 0 j .
b v ˜ 0 j = { m a i x   v ˜ i j ,   the   j th   index   has   a   positive   impact m i i n   v ˜ i j ,   the   j th   index   has   a   negative   impact
Correspondingly, define the ideal function of each index:
f j 1 = { m a i x   f i j ,   the   j th   index   has   a   positive   impact m i i n   f i j ,   the   j th   index   has   a   negative   impact
Here,   x [ 1 ,   1 ] ,   j = 1 , 2 , , n .
When R M selects the [ 0 1 ] fuzzy scale, the range of R M is [ 0 ,   3 ] , and the optimal index is defined as v ˜ 0 = ( v ˜ 01 , v ˜ 02 , , v ˜ 0 n ) = ( 0 , 0 , , 0 ) . At this time, f j 1 = 0 , j = 1 , 2 , , n .
When R M selects the [ 1 9 9 ] fuzzy scale, the range of R M is [ 1 9 3 , 9 3 ] , and the optimal index is defined as v ˜ 0 = ( v ˜ 01 , v ˜ 02 , , v ˜ 0 n ) = ( 1 9 3 , 1 9 3 , , 1 9 3 ) . At this time   f j 1 = 1 9 3 , j = 1 , 2 , , n .
Step 4: Calculate the distance between fuzzy numbers based on structured elements.
Let E ( x ) , x [ 1 ,   1 ] be a membership function of structured element   E . The fuzzy number represented by the structure element is: A ˜ = f ( E ) and   B ˜ = g ( E ) . The fuzzy distance D ( A ˜ , B ˜ ) [54] between A ˜ and   B ˜ is:
D ( A ˜ , B ˜ ) = 1 1 E ( x ) ( f ( x ) g ( x ) ) 2 d x
According to the definition of the fuzzy distance, the distance between the j th index of the evaluation object i and the j th index of the ideal object is:
D ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ 0 j ) = 1 1 E ( x ) ( f i j ( x ) f j 1 ( x ) ) 2 d x
When v ˜ i j = f i j ( E ) is the triangular fuzzy number, it is represented by ( a , b , c ) . E is the triangular fuzzy element structure. Its linear function of the structured elements is:
f i j ( x ) = { ( b a ) x + b , x [ 1 , 0 ] ( c b ) x + b , x [ 0 , 1 ]
The distance between the j th index of the evaluation object i and and the j th index of the ideal object is:
D ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ 0 j ) = 1 0 ( 1 + x ) ( ( b a ) x + b f j 1 ( x ) ) 2 d x + 0 1 ( 1 x ) ( ( c b ) x + b f j 1 ( x ) ) 2 d x
When f j 1 ( x ) is constant, then:
D ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ 0 j ) =   ( c b ) 2 + ( b a ) 2 + 4 ( b f 1 ) ( c a ) + 12 ( b f 1 ) 2 12
Step 5: Calculate the elements in the correlation coefficient matrix β between the evaluation object i and the ideal object:
β i j = m i n i m i n j D ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ 0 j ) + ρ m a x i m a x j D ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ 0 j ) D ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ 0 j ) + ρ m a x i m a x j D ( v ˜ i j , v ˜ 0 j )
Similarly, ρ is the resolution coefficient, and its specific value can be selected according to the principle of “fully reflecting the integrity of the correlation and having the anti-interference effect” [55]. Take ρ = 0.5 for calculation.
Each element in the matrix C of the correlation coefficient between the object i and the ideal object is evaluated:
C i = j   =   1 n w ˜ j β i j
Here, w ˜ j is the fuzzy weight of the j th index.
Sorted by the degree of relevance, the larger the C i value, the higher the corresponding mine safety.

2.3. Fuzzy-Grey Correlation Ranking Method Based on the Structured Element Method

The traditional grey relation analyzes the similarity between the evaluation object and the reference object. In the following, the reference object is exchanged with the evaluated object to achieve the level division of the evaluation object based on the fuzzy structure meta distance. The specific steps are as follows:
Step 1: Fuzzy structure meta-representation of fuzzy decision matrix.
The original data fuzzy matrix X ˜ is constructed by the known risk values as follows:
X ˜ = ( x ˜ 11 x ˜ 12 x ˜ 1 n x ˜ 21 x ˜ 22 x ˜ 2 n x ˜ m 1 x ˜ m 2 x ˜ m n )
where x ˜ i j ( i = 1 , 2 , , m , j = 1 , 2 , , n ) represents the risk value R M i j (fuzzy number) of the evaluation object i in the evaluation index j.
Let E be a regular fuzzy structured element, and use the structured element to represent the fuzzy number:
x ˜ i j = f i j x ( E )
where f i j x ( x ) , x [ 1 ,   1 ] is a monotonically increasing function.
Step 2: Assign the weight to the fuzzy decision matrix, then the matrix would be:
V ˜ = ( v ˜ 11 v ˜ 12 v ˜ 1 n v ˜ 21 v ˜ 22 v ˜ 2 n v ˜ m 1 v ˜ m 2 v ˜ m n )
Among them, v ˜ i j = w ˜ j x ˜ i j = g j ( E ) f i j x ( E ) , i = 1 , 2 , , m , j = 1 , 2 , , n . w ˜ j = g j ( E ) is the fuzzy weight, and g j ( x ) , x [ 1 ,   1 ] is a monotonically increasing function. For the convenience of description, let v ˜ i j = f i j ( E ) f i j = g j f i j x .
Step 3: Determine the p level standard matrix corresponding to n indicators:
T ˜ = ( t ˜ 11 t ˜ 12 t ˜ 1 n t ˜ 21 t ˜ 22 t ˜ 2 n t ˜ p 1 t ˜ p 2 t ˜ p n )
  T ˜ = ( T ˜ 1 , T ˜ 2 , , T ˜ p ) is the j th index of the k level evaluation of the standard value ( k = 1 , 2 , , p , j = 1 , 2 , , n ) and is also expressed by a fuzzy number. If the R M evaluation selects the [ 0 1 ] fuzzy scale, the range of R M is [ 0 ,   3 ] , and the standard value of the k th stage may be:
T k * = { t k 1 * , t k 2 * , , t k n * } = { 3 ( k 1 ) ( p 1 ) , 3 ( k 1 ) ( p 1 ) , , 3 ( k 1 ) ( p 1 ) }
here   k = 1 , 2 , , p , is the standard value of the evaluation level and is the value with the largest degree of membership.
Step 4: Calculate the elements in the weighted p level standard matrix t ˜ * k j = w ˜ j t ˜ k j ,   j = 1 , 2 , , n , k = 1 , 2 , , p .
Step 5: Calculate the distance between the j th index of the evaluation object i and the j th index of each level in the standard matrix:
D i ( v ˜ i j , t * k j ) , j = 1 , 2 , , n , k = 1 , 2 , , p
D i ( v ˜ i j , t k j * ) = 1 1 E ( x ) ( f i j ( x ) t k j * ) 2 d x
Here, D i ( v ˜ i j , t k j * ) is a definite number.
When v ˜ i j = f i j ( E )   is   the triangular fuzzy number (here, it is represented by   ( a , b , c ) ), take E as the triangular fuzzy element structure; the linear function of its structured element is:
f i j ( x ) = { ( b a ) x + b , x [ 1 , 0 ] ( c b ) x + b , x [ 0 , 1 ]
The distance between the j th index of the evaluation object i and the j th index of the ideal object is:
D i ( v ˜ i j , t k j * ) = 1 0 ( 1 + x ) ( ( b a ) x + b t k j * ) 2 d x + 0 1 ( 1 x ) ( ( c b ) x + b t k j * ) 2 d x
When t k j * is constant, then:
D ( v ˜ i j , t k j * ) = ( c b ) 2 + ( b a ) 2 + 4 ( b t k j * ) ( c a ) + 12 ( b t k j * ) 2 12
is constant   k = 1 , 2 , , p .
Step 6: Calculate the correlation coefficient matrix β i between each index of evaluation object i and the standard value of each level of evaluation:
β i = ( β i 11 β i 12 β i 1 n β i 21 β i 22 β i 2 n β i p 1 β i p 2 β i p n )
Each of these elements:
β i j k = m i n k m i n j D ( v ˜ i j , t k j * ) + ρ m a x k m a x j D ( v ˜ i j , t k j * ) D ( v ˜ i j , t k j * ) + ρ m a x k m a x j D ( v ˜ i j , t k j * )
Similarly, take ρ = 0.5 for calculation.
The correlation coefficient matrix C i between the evaluation object i and the evaluation level:
C i = ( C i 1 , C i 2 , , C i p )
Each of these elements:
C i k = j = 1 n w ˜ j β i j k
Similarly, w ˜ j is the fuzzy weight of the j th index. Sorted by the degree of correlation, the maximum value of C i k , the corresponding mine i has a safety level of k . This completes the mine safety assessment.

3. Comprehensive Risk Evaluation Model Based on Fuzzy-Grey Correlation

Index and Weight Data for Application Analysis of the Comprehensive Risk Evaluation Model

Referring to the mine safety risk assessment index given in [56], the Pb-Zn mine safety indicators are given in Table 1. In the design of the simulation experiment, the evaluation results are compared with the method used in [36].
In this paper, three groups of the Pb-Zn mines are scored by a group of experts. The numbers a, b, and c are the three elements of the triangular fuzzy number. The data quality control here is mainly conducted by manual identification. The original data of fuzzy risk values assessed by the experts are shown in Table 2.
In the calculation of the fuzzy weights, we used the comprehensive fuzzy weight based on the scoring attitude as in [56]. In the simulation experiment, we combined the fuzzy weight calculated by different weighting methods with different scoring attitudes to evaluate the safety risk assessment. The model was verified by simulation; the comprehensive weight of the maximum eigenvalue method and entropy weight, the comprehensive weight of the least squares method and the entropy weight, the comprehensive weight of the sum method and the entropy weight, the comprehensive weight of the product method and the entropy weight were the four comprehensive weights CW1–CW4, which are shown in Table 3.
The weights for cautious, rational, and relaxed attitude are summarized in Figure 1 (only the 20 largest weights are shown for each group). The largest comprehensive weights were certified staff ratio C13 for relaxed attitude and “three violations” incidence C16 for cautious and rational attitude. This means that the factors of “certified staff” (which is related to the competences and qualifications of the personnel) and “three violations” (which is related to insecure behavior of the personnel) have the largest impact on the security assessment of the mine.
Similarly, the safety of the mine was also categorized into seven levels, as presented in Table 4, in order to conduct the contrast tests.

4. Results of Fuzzy-Grey Correlation Risk Rating Assessment

To verify the validity of the fuzzy-grey correlation risk assessment model proposed here, the eigenvalue method based on the cautious attitude, rational attitude, and relaxed attitude for the comprehensive weight of the maximum eigenvalue method and entropy weight (CW1), the comprehensive weight of the least squares method and the entropy weight (CW2), the comprehensive weight of the sum method and the entropy weight (CW3), the comprehensive weight of the product method and the entropy weight (CW4) were used. The security risks under the four comprehensive weights were evaluated and compared with the results in [36]. The detailed experimental data are shown in Table 5, Table 6 and Table 7.

4.1. Fuzzy-Grey Correlation Risk Rating Based on Cautious Comprehensive Weight

According to the results of the simulation presented in Table 5, the fuzzy-TOPSIS model proposed in [56] was applied under the four kinds of comprehensive weights of the cautious scoring attitude. The results of the expert group assessment (represented in Figure 2) showed that the comprehensive risk level of the three mines was slightly lower, in which Mine 2 and Mine 3 had comprehensive risk ratings each of medium. By using the fuzzy-grey correlation method studied in this paper, the results of the expert group were as follows: the risk level of Mine 1 was lower, and the risk levels of Mine 2 and Mine 3 were medium. From the simulation, the results demonstrated that the proposed model was more sensitive to security risks.

4.2. Fuzzy TOPSIS Risk Rating Based on Rational Comprehensive Weight

According to the results of the simulation presented in Table 6, the proposed model was applied under the four kinds of comprehensive weights of the rational scoring attitude. The results (represented in Figure 3) showed that the comprehensive risk level of Mine 1 was lower, and the comprehensive risk levels of Mine 2 and Mine 3 were slightly lower.
By using the fuzzy-grey correlation method, the results of the expert group were as follows: the risk level of Mine 1 was lower, and the risk levels of Mine 2 and Mine 3 were medium. The simulation results showed that the proposed model was more sensitive to security risks.

4.3. Fuzzy TOPSIS Risk Rating Based on Relaxed Comprehensive Weight

According to the results of the simulation in Table 7, the proposed model was applied under the four kinds of comprehensive weights of the relaxed scoring attitude. The result (represented in Figure 4) showed that the comprehensive risk level of Mine 1 was extremely low, and the comprehensive risk levels of Mine 2 and Mine 3 were comparatively lower, for which each of mines was rated extremely low.
By using the fuzzy-grey correlation method analyzed in this paper, the results of the expert group were as follows: the risk level of Mine 1 was lower, and the risk levels of Mine 2 and Mine 3 were slightly lower. From the simulation results, we can see that the proposed model was more sensitive to security risks.

5. Discussion

The model proposed in this paper demonstrated three advantages following from the results of the three sets of comparative experiments.
  • The proposed model was more sensitive to risk because the overall risk rating was generally one level higher.
  • The proposed model had little change in rating results under different scoring attitudes, so different scoring attitudes had less influence on the fuzzy-grey correlation model.
  • The proposed model did not distinguish the judgment of some adjacent ranks, because there was no strict limit to the risk assessment.
In addition, the inconsistency between the indexes, such as some indexes having higher risk levels and some indexes having lower risk levels, and the results of the comprehensive analysis may have had a small degree of discrimination. Based on the analysis of the correlation value in the table, the degree of correlation between some of the adjacent level difference was very small; such as the relaxed attitude Comprehensive Weight 3 had a lower level of correlation degree of 0.7814 and a medium level of correlation degree of 0.7737.
The approach presented in this paper had similarities to other risk assessment methods based on fuzzy logic such as presented in [57,58,59]. However, the latter methods required a much larger number of fuzzy rules to be constructed and evaluated as compared to the method presented in this paper.

6. Conclusions

In this paper, a mine safety risk ranking and grading evaluation model that was based on the fuzzy-grey correlation method was proposed. We compared this model with the fuzzy TOPSIS risk assessment model based on the cautious, rational, and relaxed scoring attitudes. Through actual analysis, we found that the proposed model was more sensitive to risk than the fuzzy TOPSIS risk assessment model in three different situations. Our results demonstrated that the risk analysis model proposed in this paper could be successfully applied to the evaluation of mine safety. The proposed model had little change in rating results under the three different scoring attitudes, so different scoring attitudes had less impact on the results of the proposed model.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, G.D., W.W., and X.X.; methodology, G.D., W.W., and X.X.; software, G.D., W.W., and X.X.; validation, G.D., W.W., X.X., M.W. and R.D.; formal analysis, G.D. and X.X.; investigation, G.D., W.W., X.X., and M.W.; resources, G.D., W.W., and X.X.; data curation, G.D., W.W. and X.X.; writing, original draft preparation, G.D., W.W., and X.X.; writing, review and editing, M.W. and R.D.; visualization, R.D.; supervision, W.W. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This work is supported by the Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi Province (No. 2018ZDXM-GY-036). This work was supported by the Scientific Research Program Funded by the Shaanxi Provincial Education Department (Program No. 2013JK1139), by the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No. 2013M542370), and by the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of the People’s Republic of China (Grant No. 20136118120010).

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 1. Comprehensive weights for cautious, rational, and relaxed attitude (only the 20 largest weights are shown for each group).
Figure 1. Comprehensive weights for cautious, rational, and relaxed attitude (only the 20 largest weights are shown for each group).
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Figure 2. Fuzzy-grey correlation based on the cautious attitude.
Figure 2. Fuzzy-grey correlation based on the cautious attitude.
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Figure 3. Fuzzy-grey correlation based on the rational attitude.
Figure 3. Fuzzy-grey correlation based on the rational attitude.
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Figure 4. Fuzzy-grey correlation based on the relaxed attitude.
Figure 4. Fuzzy-grey correlation based on the relaxed attitude.
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Table 1. Pb-Zn mine safety indicators’ evaluation system.
Table 1. Pb-Zn mine safety indicators’ evaluation system.
Primary IndicatorSecondary IndicatorsThree Level Indicators
Natural conditions A1Safe production capacity B1Satisfaction of safety production capacity C1
Hydrogeological conditions B2Water rich C2 of the formation
Rock mass water rich C3
Fold, fracture structure of the water rich C4
Rock top floor conditions B3Rock formation management ease C5
Engineering geological conditions B4Soil thickness C6
Rock mass hardness C7
Dust explosion conditions B6Probability of dust explosion C8
Mining situation B7Mining depth C9
Personnel quality A2Cultural quality B8The average level of education C10
Professional quality B9Senior technician ratio C11
Senior management ratio C12
Certified staff ratio C13
Physical fitness B10Medical examination pass rate C14
Safety awareness B11Safety training attendance C15
Personnel insecure behavior B12“Three violations” incidence of C16
Equipment Situation A3Equipment advanced level B13Million tons Pb-Zn mine production equipment total value C17
Equipment mechanization B14Tons of Pb-Zn ore production equipment total value C18
Equipment failure B15Production equipment failure rate C19
Equipment maintenance B16Production equipment maintenance rate C20
Equipment renovation B17Production equipment update rate C21
Production process A4Temperature B18General face temperature conditions C22
Wind speed B19Average wind speed C23
Noise B20Average noise decibel C24
Harmful gases B21The average concentration of harmful gases C25
Dust B22The average dust concentration C26
Lighting B23The average illuminance C27
Workplace B24Roadway pass rate C28
Safety Management A5Safety management system B25Safety management system improvement rate C29
Safety risk management B26Hidden rectification pass rate C30
Safety and quality standardization management B27The average score of safety and quality standardization examination C31
Safety information management B28Per capita information management input ratio C32
Security information office rate C33
Security input B29Security input ratio C34
Safety education and training B30Training funding ratio C35
Staff training rate C36
Certified growth ratio training C37
Safety incident management B31Pb-Zn mine million tons mortality rate C38
The number of serious injuries throughout the year C39
Percentage of minor injuries C40
Major disaster management B32Million tons of ore explosion alarm rate C41
Million tons of ore production flood alarm rate C42
Million tons of ore fire alarm rate C43
Tons of ore hit the ground pressure alarm rate C44
Occupational health management B33The proportion of occupational patients C45
Emergency management B34“Safe hedging six systems” complete rate C46
Table 2. Risk values scored by experts represented as triangular fuzzy numbers.
Table 2. Risk values scored by experts represented as triangular fuzzy numbers.
Three Level IndicatorMine 1Mine 2Mine 3
abcabcabc
C10.98671.321.65331.912.24332.57671.22331.55671.89
C20.84131.0081.34131.09531.2621.59531.05931.2261.5593
C30.81111.14451.47780.37780.54440.87780.10.10.4333
C40.660.99331.32671.07331.40671.740.681.01331.3467
C522.52.833322.52.83331.33331.83332.3333
C60.0390.20570.5391.45231.78571.95230.5870.92031.2537
C70.33330.83331.33331.66672.16672.66671.83332.33332.6667
C81.33331.83332.333311.521.16671.66672.1667
C91.3561.68932.02270.55930.89271.2261.5231.85632.1897
C100.45170.61830.95170.64050.80721.14050.57990.74651.0799
C110.740.741.07331.351.51671.851.14331.311.6433
C120.820.821.15331.58671.75332.08671.59671.76332.0967
C13000.33330.020.18670.520.020.18670.52
C140.020.18670.520.19670.530.86330.20670.540.8733
C150.27670.610.94330.88671.221.55331.12331.45671.79
C160.69831.03171.3651.0651.39831.73171.3651.69832.0317
C170.85431.0211.35431.4881.82132.15471.50971.84312.1764
C180.04610.21270.54610.75991.09331.42660.40550.73881.0721
C190.50330.83671.170.711.04331.37670.52330.85671.19
C200.020.35330.68670.030.36330.69670.030.36330.6967
C211.59671.932.26331.972.30332.63671.982.31332.6467
C220.50.666711.04171.3751.70830.751.08331.4167
C230.86581.19921.53251.22421.55751.89081.08251.41581.7492
C240.51670.851.18330.78331.11671.450.75831.09171.425
C251.27081.60421.93751.58331.91672.251.29171.6251.9583
C260.9981.33131.66471.75272.0862.41931.30331.69672.03
C270.57330.741.07330.97331.30671.640.51330.84671.18
C280.060.39330.72670.620.95331.28670.610.94331.2767
C290.020.18670.520.71671.051.38331.071.40331.7367
C300.030.36330.69670.83671.171.50331.241.57331.9067
C310.02660.19330.52660.41770.75111.08440.60880.94211.2755
C320.110.27670.611.44331.77672.111.60331.93672.27
C330.150.48330.81671.32671.661.99331.712.04332.3767
C340.720.88671.221.10331.49671.831.391.72332.0567
C350.630.630.96331.52671.862.19331.76332.09672.2633
C360.010.010.34330.771.10331.43671.41331.74671.9133
C370.890.891.22331.13671.30331.63671.481.64671.98
C38000.33330.66771.0011.33430.666711.3333
C390.20270.36930.70271.25931.59271.9260.96271.2961.6293
C400.6861.01931.35271.9862.31932.65272.35272.6862.8527
C410.29670.630.96331.211.54331.87670.671.00331.3367
C420.030.36330.69670.550.88331.21671.35671.692.0233
C430.51330.84671.181.71332.04672.21330.27670.610.9433
C441.36031.69372.0271.19971.5331.86630.34230.67571.009
C450.0050.17170.5050.17270.5060.83930.0040.33730.6707
C460.18670.35330.68670.46330.79671.130.83671.171.5033
C470.17670.510.84331.071.40331.73670.71671.051.3833
C480.010.17670.510.91671.251.58331.14331.47671.81
Table 3. Comprehensive weights of expert group for Pb-Zn mine safety indicators.
Table 3. Comprehensive weights of expert group for Pb-Zn mine safety indicators.
Three-Level IndicatorComprehensive Weight 1Comprehensive Weight 2Comprehensive Weight 3Comprehensive Weight 4
Cautious AttitudeRational AttitudeRelaxed AttitudeCautious AttitudeRational AttitudeRelaxed AttitudeCautious AttitudeRational AttitudeRelaxed AttitudeCautious AttitudeRational AttitudeRelaxed Attitude
C10.0050.0040.0010.0050.0040.0020.0050.0040.0010.0050.0040.001
C20.0070.0060.0010.0060.0060.0020.0060.0060.0010.0060.0060.001
C30.020.0560.0040.0170.0550.0050.0170.0560.0050.0180.0560.005
C40.0140.0060.0030.0120.0050.0050.0120.0060.0040.0120.0060.004
C50.0090.0050.0040.0070.0050.0070.0070.0050.0050.0080.0050.005
C60.0240.0430.0080.0230.0430.0120.0210.0440.010.0230.0430.009
C70.0120.0140.0020.0110.0140.0050.0110.0140.0030.0110.0140.003
C80.0140.0040.0050.0120.0040.0080.0120.0040.0060.0120.0040.006
C90.0110.0090.0040.0090.0090.0070.0090.0090.0050.010.0090.005
C100.0160.0130.0070.0160.0160.0120.0130.0130.0090.0130.0130.009
C110.0080.0060.0050.0060.0060.0060.0070.0070.0060.0070.0070.007
C120.0140.0170.0110.0160.0170.0090.0120.0170.0130.0130.0170.013
C130.0460.0770.2850.0430.0760.3350.0420.0770.330.0420.0770.33
C140.0330.0140.020.0310.0150.0230.0280.0150.0240.0290.0140.024
C150.0470.0420.0360.0460.040.0350.040.0420.0460.0410.0430.047
C160.0820.0850.0650.1120.0980.0550.0720.0830.0820.0770.0860.075
C170.0310.0210.0180.0170.0120.0220.030.0220.020.0260.0210.023
C180.0580.0420.0340.0410.0310.0350.0570.0440.0380.0530.0410.037
C190.0150.0050.0050.0110.0030.0080.0140.0050.0060.0130.0040.007
C200.0190.0020.0070.0170.0020.0020.0180.0020.0070.0180.0020.008
C210.0150.010.0090.0080.0060.0120.0150.0110.010.0130.010.011
C220.0130.0050.0050.010.0050.010.0110.0060.0060.0120.0060.007
C230.0070.0020.0020.0060.0020.0050.0060.0020.0030.0060.0020.003
C240.0070.0010.0010.0060.0010.0040.0060.0010.0020.0060.0010.002
C250.0170.0090.0080.0140.010.0170.0140.010.0090.0150.010.01
C260.0220.0130.0120.0240.0190.0250.0180.0140.0140.020.0140.014
C270.0080.0020.0020.0080.0020.0040.0070.0020.0020.0070.0020.002
C280.0220.0080.0080.0210.0090.0110.020.0080.0090.020.0080.009
C290.0270.0140.020.0270.0130.0160.0310.0150.0150.0310.0150.015
C300.0240.0290.0430.0310.0280.0260.0430.0390.0310.040.0350.028
C310.0280.0330.0270.0290.0320.0190.0340.0370.0190.0340.0360.019
C320.0190.0460.0140.0210.0450.0080.0180.0430.0040.0180.0430.004
C330.0120.0180.0060.0120.0180.0060.0110.0170.0020.0110.0170.002
C340.0260.0340.0410.0360.0330.0250.0330.0340.0320.0360.0380.033
C350.0080.0130.0120.0090.0220.0030.0120.0160.0060.0110.0150.006
C360.0190.0390.0250.0150.0390.0030.030.0410.0130.0270.040.013
C370.0050.0040.0050.0090.0120.0040.0070.0050.0020.0070.0050.002
C380.0170.0150.0260.0210.0150.0140.0290.0170.0130.0250.0160.013
C390.0150.0270.0130.0150.0260.010.0190.0280.0070.0180.0270.008
C400.0050.0070.0050.0050.0080.0040.0070.0080.0020.0060.0080.002
C410.0240.0270.0250.0350.0280.0140.0250.0190.0190.0270.0210.019
C420.0140.0140.0090.0140.0120.0060.0140.0120.0070.0140.0120.007
C430.0160.0250.0090.0160.0240.0060.0160.0230.0070.0160.0240.007
C440.0090.0060.0030.010.0060.0030.0090.0050.0020.0090.0050.002
C450.0420.030.0750.040.0290.0840.040.0290.0810.0410.0290.081
C460.0280.0460.0260.0380.0460.0140.0290.0380.020.030.0410.02
C470.0250.0130.0170.0260.0120.0140.0230.010.0160.0240.0110.016
C480.0170.0160.0070.0170.0170.0060.0160.0150.0050.0160.0150.006
Table 4. Security risk rating evaluation form.
Table 4. Security risk rating evaluation form.
Security Risk RatingRisk ImplicationsSecurity Management Advice
Very lowNo riskTo ensure safety
Slightly lowBasically no riskSafer
LowLess riskySafe, but hidden
MediumAverage riskBasic security, need to deal with hidden dangers
Slightly highShould pay attention to riskAs soon as possible to eliminate the risk, which is not safe to be rectified
HighHigher riskShould stop production for rectification
Very highHigh riskAfter rectification and acceptance can start
Table 5. Fuzzy-grey correlation risk rating based on the cautious attitude.
Table 5. Fuzzy-grey correlation risk rating based on the cautious attitude.
Weight CategoriesEvaluation ObjectCorrelationGrey Related RatingTOPSIS Rating [51]
Very LowLowSlightly LowMediumSlightly HighHighVery High
CW1Mine 10.73050.85240.82980.69620.57150.46860.3959LowSlightly low
Mine 20.50720.64290.78040.83820.70780.55560.4417MediumSlightly low
Mine 30.52790.65770.77530.80790.73120.56390.4494MediumSlightly low
CW2Mine 10.72830.85670.83930.69790.56540.46350.3921LowSlightly low
Mine 20.50150.63680.77860.84940.70600.54880.4361MediumMedium
Mine 30.52080.64970.77540.82050.74210.56610.4505MediumMedium
CW3Mine 10.74250.85900.82400.68600.56320.46320.3924LowSlightly low
Mine 20.50680.64390.79040.84260.70680.55370.4404MediumSlightly low
Mine 30.52110.65020.77400.81310.73640.56710.4517MediumSlightly low
CW4Mine 10.73940.85830.82670.68910.56440.46380.3928LowSlightly low
Mine 20.50610.64290.78750.84330.70720.55360.4403MediumSlightly low
Mine 30.52160.65080.77480.81430.73650.56610.4509MediumSlightly low
Table 6. Fuzzy-grey correlation risk rating based on rational attitude.
Table 6. Fuzzy-grey correlation risk rating based on rational attitude.
Weight CategoriesEvaluation ObjectCorrelationGrey Related RatingTOPSIS Rating [51]
Very LowLowSlightly LowMediumSlightly HighHighVery High
CW1Mine 10.75010.86010.83010.68950.55590.45750.3886LowLow
Mine 20.51890.64940.77220.82900.72120.56110.4456MediumSlightly low
Mine 30.54330.54330.75700.79960.74170.57430.4578MediumSlightly low
CW2Mine 10.74490.85750.83390.69410.55630.45720.3881LowLow
Mine 20.51610.64600.76850.83120.72180.56030.4447MediumSlightly low
Mine 30.54030.64870.75430.80450.74970.57840.4604MediumSlightly low
CW3Mine 10.75110.85810.82730.68840.55600.45770.3887LowLow
Mine 20.52020.65120.77530.82910.72020.56140.4461MediumSlightly low
Mine 30.54190.65060.75370.79940.74340.57570.4586MediumSlightly low
CW4Mine 10.74930.85790.83010.68980.55600.45750.3885LowLow
Mine 20.51900.64970.77370.83080.72050.56070.4454MediumSlightly low
Mine 30.54130.64970.75370.80140.74500.57580.4587MediumSlightly low
Table 7. Fuzzy-grey correlation risk rating based on relaxed attitude.
Table 7. Fuzzy-grey correlation risk rating based on relaxed attitude.
Weight CategoriesEvaluation ObjectCorrelationGrey Related RatingTOPSIS Rating [51]
Very LowLowSlightly LowMediumSlightly HighHighVery High
CW1Mine 10.8270.86250.77990.63860.52630.44110.3795LowerVery low
Mine 20.63460.74790.78830.78560.64980.51580.4210Slightly lowLow
Mine 30.63920.74350.76280.76370.68550.53570.4358Slightly lowLow
CW2Mine 10.82020.84330.76950.64760.53740.44850.3843LowVery low
Mine 20.66060.76770.77500.76050.64230.51950.4254Slightly lowVery low
Mine 30.67260.77390.76460.74360.66120.52330.4291LowVery low
CW3Mine 10.82460.85110.77930.64390.53090.44430.3816LowVery low
Mine 20.65680.76540.78140.77370.63620.50880.4174Slightly lowLow
Mine 30.66620.76730.76260.75200.67040.52500.4293LowLow
CW4Mine 10.82430.85110.77940.64380.53170.44470.3819LowVery low
Mine 20.65690.76520.78040.77210.63790.51060.4187Slightly lowLow
Mine 30.66660.76770.76280.75120.66940.52540.4296LowLow

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MDPI and ACS Style

Dong, G.; Wei, W.; Xia, X.; Woźniak, M.; Damaševičius, R. Safety Risk Assessment of a Pb-Zn Mine Based on Fuzzy-Grey Correlation Analysis. Electronics 2020, 9, 130. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics9010130

AMA Style

Dong G, Wei W, Xia X, Woźniak M, Damaševičius R. Safety Risk Assessment of a Pb-Zn Mine Based on Fuzzy-Grey Correlation Analysis. Electronics. 2020; 9(1):130. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics9010130

Chicago/Turabian Style

Dong, Guofang, Wei Wei, Xu Xia, Marcin Woźniak, and Robertas Damaševičius. 2020. "Safety Risk Assessment of a Pb-Zn Mine Based on Fuzzy-Grey Correlation Analysis" Electronics 9, no. 1: 130. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics9010130

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